✉️ topbetpredict.com@gmail.com Register
ENGLAND › FA CUP
16.05.2026 14:00
Chelsea
FT
0 - 1
Manchester City
Wembley Stadium
Referee: D. England
Chelsea
Match Timeline
Manchester City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Enzo Fernández
Chelsea
🟨
32'
Marc Cucurella
Chelsea
🔄
46'
O. Marmoush ↔ R. Cherki
Manchester City
🟨
56'
Abdukodir Khusanov
Manchester City
🔄
65'
Rodri ↔ M. Kovacic
Manchester City
⚽
72'
A. Semenyo · Assist: E. Haaland
Manchester City
🔄
74'
M. Cucurella ↔ P. Neto
Chelsea
🔄
83'
R. James ↔ L. Delap
Chelsea
🔄
86'
Joao Pedro ↔ A. Garnacho
Chelsea
🟨
90+2'
Moisés Caicedo
Chelsea

Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 37.3%
Draw 18.2%
Manchester City Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea1.5
Manchester City1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea Chelsea
WWDLW
95 GF / 70 GA
Manchester City Manchester City
WLDWL
112 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
2.2
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
30
BTTS Yes
25
35
Over 2.5
33
5.08
Shots on Goal
5.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chelsea Chelsea 51 matches
Manchester City Manchester City 51 matches
Chelsea Statistic Manchester City
23 Wins 33
11 Draws 9
17 Losses 9
95 Goals For 112
70 Goals Against 49
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
30 BTTS Yes 25
43 Over 1.5 46
35 Over 2.5 33
21 Over 3.5 14
15 Clean Sheets 21
8 Failed To Score 6
5.08 Shots On Goal 5.88
14.18 Total Shots 16.06
6.08 Corners 6.45
58.6% Ball Possession 61%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 0 times, Manchester City won 12 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:30 from Chelsea's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.8%)
Predicted formations: Chelsea 3-4-2-1 / Manchester City 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 0, draws 3, Manchester City wins 12