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ENGLAND › FA CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Chelsea
FT
0 - 1
Manchester City
Wembley Stadium
Referee: D. England
Chelsea
Match Timeline
Manchester City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Enzo Fernández
Chelsea
🟨
32'
Marc Cucurella
Chelsea
🔄
46'
O. Marmoush ↔ R. Cherki
Manchester City
🟨
56'
Abdukodir Khusanov
Manchester City
🔄
65'
Rodri ↔ M. Kovacic
Manchester City
⚽
72'
A. Semenyo · Assist: E. Haaland
Manchester City
🔄
74'
M. Cucurella ↔ P. Neto
Chelsea
🔄
83'
R. James ↔ L. Delap
Chelsea
🔄
86'
Joao Pedro ↔ A. Garnacho
Chelsea
🟨
90+2'
Moisés Caicedo
Chelsea

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 37.3%
Draw 18.2%
Manchester City Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea1.5
Manchester City1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea Chelsea
WWDLW
95 GF / 70 GA
Manchester City Manchester City
WLDWL
112 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
2.2
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
30
BTTS Yes
25
35
Over 2.5
33
5.08
Shots on Goal
5.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chelsea Chelsea 51 matches
Manchester City Manchester City 51 matches
Chelsea Statistic Manchester City
23 Wins 33
11 Draws 9
17 Losses 9
95 Goals For 112
70 Goals Against 49
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
30 BTTS Yes 25
43 Over 1.5 46
35 Over 2.5 33
21 Over 3.5 14
15 Clean Sheets 21
8 Failed To Score 6
5.08 Shots On Goal 5.88
14.18 Total Shots 16.06
6.08 Corners 6.45
58.6% Ball Possession 61%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 0 times, Manchester City won 12 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:30 from Chelsea's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.8%)
Predicted formations: Chelsea 3-4-2-1 / Manchester City 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 0, draws 3, Manchester City wins 12
Stats
Chelsea Chelsea
Manchester City Manchester City
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 4
15 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 3
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 7
2 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
418 Total passes 541
349 Passes accurate 470
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Chelsea
Formation
Manchester City
R. Sanchez
R. Sanchez
W. Fofana
W. Fofana
L. Colwill
L. Colwill
J. Hato
J. Hato
M. Gusto
M. Gusto
R. James
↓
R. James
M. Caicedo
M. Caicedo
M. Cucurella
↓
M. Cucurella
C. Palmer
C. Palmer
E. Fernandez
E. Fernandez
Joao Pedro
↓
Joao Pedro
J. Trafford
J. Trafford
M. Nunes
M. Nunes
A. Khusanov
A. Khusanov
M. Guehi
M. Guehi
N. O'Reilly
N. O'Reilly
Rodri
↓
Rodri
B. Silva
B. Silva
A. Semenyo
⚽
A. Semenyo
J. Doku
J. Doku
O. Marmoush
↓
O. Marmoush
E. Haaland
🎯
E. Haaland
Chelsea 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
R. Sanchez
G
29
W. Fofana
D
6
L. Colwill
D
21
J. Hato
D
27
M. Gusto
M
24
R. James
↓ 83'
M
25
M. Caicedo
🟨 90+2'
M
3
M. Cucurella
↓ 74' 🟨 32'
M
10
C. Palmer
F
8
E. Fernandez
🟨 29'
F
20
Joao Pedro
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
12
F. Jorgensen
G
23
T. Chalobah
D
7
P. Neto
↑ 74'
F
49
A. Garnacho
↑ 86'
F
17
Andrey Santos
M
4
T. Adarabioyo
D
9
L. Delap
↑ 83'
F
14
D. Essugo
M
34
J. Acheampong
D
Manchester City 4-2-2-2
Starting XI
1
J. Trafford
G
27
M. Nunes
D
45
A. Khusanov
🟨 56'
D
15
M. Guehi
D
33
N. O'Reilly
D
16
Rodri
↓ 65'
M
20
B. Silva
M
42
A. Semenyo
⚽ 72'
M
11
J. Doku
M
7
O. Marmoush
↓ 46'
F
9
E. Haaland
🎯 72'
F
Substitutes
25
G. Donnarumma
G
3
R. Dias
D
4
T. Reijnders
M
8
M. Kovacic
↑ 65'
M
5
J. Stones
D
6
N. Ake
D
47
P. Foden
M
10
R. Cherki
↑ 46'
M
26
Savinho
F
Last matches: Chelsea
15.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
09.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Johor Darul Takzim FC
3
3
D
08.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
05.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Juventus
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Chelsea
Western Sydney Wanderers
6
4
W
24.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Sunderland
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Liverpool
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brighton
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Everton
0
3
L
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
11.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
2
5
L
07.03.26
FA
Chelsea
Wrexham
4
2
W
Last matches: Manchester City
09.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
3
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
K-League Stars
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
Inter
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Bournemouth
1
1
D
13.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Brentford
3
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Everton
3
3
D
25.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Southampton
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Burnley
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Arsenal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Chelsea
3
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Manchester City
Liverpool
4
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
West Ham
1
1
D
11.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
0
3
L
07.03.26
FA
Manchester City
Newcastle
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Leeds
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Newcastle
2
1
W
H2H: Chelsea vs Manchester City
16.05.26
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
12.04.26
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.01.26
H2H
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
1
D
25.01.25
H2H
Manchester City
Chelsea
3
1
L
18.08.24
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
2
L
03.08.24
H2H
Manchester City
Chelsea
4
2
L
20.04.24
H2H
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
0
L
17.02.24
H2H
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
1
D
12.11.23
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
4
4
D
21.05.23
H2H
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
0
L
08.01.23
H2H
Manchester City
Chelsea
4
0
L
05.01.23
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
09.11.22
H2H
Manchester City
Chelsea
2
0
L
15.01.22
H2H
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
0
L
25.09.21
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
Last matches: Chelsea
15.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
08.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
05.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Juventus
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Chelsea
Western Sydney Wanderers
6
4
W
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Burnley
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
31.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
West Ham
3
2
W
21.01.26
UEF
Chelsea
Pafos
1
0
W
17.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brentford
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Bournemouth
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
2
L
H2H at home: Chelsea
16.05.26
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
12.04.26
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
18.08.24
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
2
L
12.11.23
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
4
4
D
05.01.23
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
25.09.21
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
Last matches: Manchester City
05.08.26
Fri
Manchester City
K-League Stars
3
1
W
19.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Bournemouth
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Manchester City
Everton
3
3
D
22.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Burnley
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Manchester City
Chelsea
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Manchester City
West Ham
1
1
D
11.03.26
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
0
3
L
07.03.26
FA
Manchester City
Newcastle
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Leeds
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Liverpool
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Manchester City
Tottenham
2
2
D
20.01.26
UEF
Manchester City
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
17.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Manchester United
0
2
L
01.01.26
Pre
Manchester City
Sunderland
0
0
D
27.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
14.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Manchester City
Real Madrid
2
1
W
02.12.25
Pre
Manchester City
Fulham
5
4
W
22.11.25
Pre
Manchester City
Newcastle
1
2
L
26.10.25
Pre
Manchester City
Aston Villa
0
1
L
H2H away: Manchester City
16.05.26
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
W
12.04.26
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
W
18.08.24
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
2
W
12.11.23
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
4
4
D
05.01.23
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
W
25.09.21
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
W