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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
05.12.2026 15:00
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 0%
Draw 0%
Liverpool Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea2.11
Liverpool1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea Chelsea
WWDLW
31 GF / 24 GA
Liverpool Liverpool
WLDWL
17 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
2.58
Average Goals Scored
1.7
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
9
BTTS Yes
5
11
Over 2.5
6
5.33
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chelsea Chelsea 12 matches
Liverpool Liverpool 10 matches
Chelsea Statistic Liverpool
6 Wins 4
2 Draws 4
4 Losses 2
31 Goals For 17
24 Goals Against 14
2.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
9 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 7
11 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 3
5.33 Shots On Goal 5.5
13.67 Total Shots 16.13
5.67 Corners 5.38
47.8% Ball Possession 54.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 3 times, Liverpool won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from Chelsea's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Chelsea 3-4-2-1 / Liverpool 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 3, draws 8, Liverpool wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 16:5 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 10:5 5 15
W L W W W
3 6 4 1 1 18:5 13 13
W W W D L
4 6 2 4 0 12:6 6 10
D W D D D
5 6 2 4 0 8:5 3 10
D W D D D
6 6 3 1 2 15:13 2 10
W L D L W
7 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
L D W D D
8 6 2 3 1 8:6 2 9
D L D D W
9 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
L W D W D
10 6 3 0 3 9:12 -3 9
W L W L L
11 6 2 2 2 10:13 -3 8
L W L D W
12 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
W D L W L
13 6 1 3 2 9:9 0 6
D D L D W
14 6 2 0 4 5:11 -6 6
W W L L L
15 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
L L W D D
16 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D W L D L
17 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L D W
18 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
L L D D D
19 6 0 3 3 3:9 -6 3
D L D D L
20 6 0 2 4 6:10 -4 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship