Chelsea
Match Timeline
Brighton
Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 0%
Draw 0%
Brighton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea1.74
Brighton1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea
WWDLW
11 GF / 8 GA
Brighton
WLDWL
6 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.2
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chelsea
6 matches
Brighton
5 matches
| Chelsea | Statistic | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 11 | Goals For | 6 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 4.2 |
| 12.33 | Total Shots | 10.6 |
| 5.83 | Corners | 3 |
| 59% | Ball Possession | 46% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 6 times, Brighton won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:30 from Chelsea's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Chelsea 4-3-3 / Brighton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 6, draws 3, Brighton wins 6
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Brighton
Away
|
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Chelsea
Home
|
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship