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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
30.08.2026 13:00
Stamford Bridge
Referee: Michael Oliver, England
Chelsea
Match Timeline
Brighton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
R. Lavia
Chelsea
⚽
14'
P. Neto · Assist: M. Rogers
Chelsea
⚽
32'
Joao Pedro · Assist: J. Hato
Chelsea
⚽
35'
M. Yalcouye
Brighton
🟨
55'
Wesley Fofana
Chelsea
⚽
63'
Joao Pedro
Brighton
🔄
68'
R. Lavia ↔ R. James
Chelsea
🔄
68'
W. Fofana ↔ J. Acheampong
Chelsea
🔄
68'
P. Neto ↔ M. Caicedo
Chelsea
🟨
70'
Lewis Dunk
Brighton
🔄
72'
L. Colwill ↔ P. Chavarria
Chelsea
🔄
74'
M. Yalcouye ↔ I. Osman
Brighton
⚽
74'
C. Palmer · Assist: Joao Pedro
Chelsea
🔄
80'
M. Wieffer ↔ Costinha
Brighton
🔄
80'
C. Kostoulas ↔ P. David
Brighton
🔄
82'
↔ V. Barco
Chelsea
🟨
89'
Olivier Boscagli
Brighton
🟨
90+1'
Costinha
Brighton
⚽
90'
P. Gross
Brighton

Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 65.8%
Draw 5.2%
Brighton Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea1.83
Brighton2.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea Chelsea
W W D W L
12 GF / 7 GA
Brighton Brighton
W W D W W
12 GF / 0 GA
Key Stats
2.71
Average Goals Scored
2.67
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
5
BTTS Yes
1
6
Over 2.5
4
6
Shots on Goal
6.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chelsea Chelsea 7 matches
Brighton Brighton 6 matches
Chelsea Statistic Brighton
4 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 0
19 Goals For 16
13 Goals Against 3
2.71 Avg Goals Scored 2.67
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
5 BTTS Yes 1
6 Over 1.5 4
6 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 1
6 Shots On Goal 6.67
18 Total Shots 22.33
4 Corners 7.67
38% Ball Possession 73%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 6 times, Brighton won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:30 from Chelsea's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Chelsea 3-4-2-1 / Brighton 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Chelsea 5, Brighton 5
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 6, draws 3, Brighton wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 20:9 11 21
L W W W W
2 7 6 0 1 11:5 6 18
W W L W W
3 7 5 1 1 23:5 18 16
W W W W D
4 7 4 1 2 17:13 4 13
W W L D L
5 7 3 3 1 9:8 1 12
W L W D W
6 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D W L
7 7 2 4 1 13:8 5 10
L D W D D
8 7 2 4 1 9:6 3 10
D L D W D
9 7 2 4 1 8:7 1 10
L D W D D
10 8 3 1 4 12:16 -4 10
D L W L W
11 7 2 3 2 8:7 1 9
L D L D D
12 7 2 2 3 10:14 -4 8
L L W L D
13 7 1 4 2 10:10 0 7
D D D L D
14 7 2 1 4 9:17 -8 7
L W D L W
15 7 1 3 3 9:13 -4 6
W L L D D
16 7 1 3 3 6:10 -4 6
W D L D D
17 8 1 3 4 6:10 -4 6
D L L L W
18 7 2 0 5 6:14 -8 6
L W W L L
19 7 1 2 4 7:10 -3 5
W L D D L
20 7 1 1 5 6:14 -8 4
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship