Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 0%
Draw 0%
Brighton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea2.16
Brighton2.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea
WWDLW
13 GF / 10 GA
Brighton
WLDWL
7 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2.6
Average Goals Scored
3.5
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
3
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chelsea
5 matches
Brighton
2 matches
| Chelsea | Statistic | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 13 | Goals For | 7 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 2.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.5 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 6 times, Brighton won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:28 from Chelsea's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Chelsea 4-2-3-1 / Brighton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 6, draws 3, Brighton wins 6
Last matches: Chelsea
09.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Johor Darul Takzim FC
3
3
D
08.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
05.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Juventus
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Chelsea
Western Sydney Wanderers
6
4
W
24.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Sunderland
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Liverpool
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brighton
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Everton
0
3
L
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
11.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
2
5
L
07.03.26
FA
Chelsea
Wrexham
4
2
W
Last matches: Brighton
08.08.26
Fri
Brighton
AS Roma
3
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Brighton
Strasbourg
4
3
W
24.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
0
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Everton
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
19.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
1
D
H2H: Chelsea vs Brighton
21.04.26
H2H
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
L
27.09.25
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
1
3
L
14.02.25
H2H
Brighton
Chelsea
3
0
L
08.02.25
H2H
Brighton
Chelsea
2
1
L
28.09.24
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
4
2
W
15.05.24
H2H
Brighton
Chelsea
1
2
W
03.12.23
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
3
2
W
27.09.23
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
1
0
W
22.07.23
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
4
3
W
15.04.23
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
1
2
L
29.10.22
H2H
Brighton
Chelsea
4
1
L
18.01.22
H2H
Brighton
Chelsea
1
1
D
29.12.21
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
1
1
D
20.04.21
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
0
0
D
14.09.20
H2H
Brighton
Chelsea
1
3
W
Last matches: Chelsea
08.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
05.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Juventus
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Chelsea
Western Sydney Wanderers
6
4
W
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Burnley
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
31.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
West Ham
3
2
W
21.01.26
UEF
Chelsea
Pafos
1
0
W
17.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brentford
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Bournemouth
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
2
L
H2H at home: Chelsea
27.09.25
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
1
3
L
28.09.24
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
4
2
W
03.12.23
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
3
2
W
27.09.23
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
1
0
W
22.07.23
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
4
3
W
15.04.23
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
1
2
L
29.12.21
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
1
1
D
20.04.21
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
0
0
D
Last matches: Brighton
17.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Leeds
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Brighton
Newcastle
1
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Tottenham
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Brighton
Burnley
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Brighton
Sunderland
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Brentford
2
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Brighton
Liverpool
0
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Brighton
Aston Villa
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Fulham
1
2
L
11.01.26
FA
Brighton
Manchester United
2
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Brighton
Manchester City
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Brighton
West Ham
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Arsenal
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Brighton
Liverpool
0
2
L
30.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Brighton
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Manchester United
2
4
L
05.10.25
Pre
Brighton
Wolves
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Chelsea
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
Brighton
Bournemouth
1
2
L
H2H away: Brighton
27.09.25
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
1
3
W
28.09.24
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
4
2
L
03.12.23
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
3
2
L
27.09.23
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
1
0
L
22.07.23
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
4
3
L
15.04.23
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
1
2
W
29.12.21
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
1
1
D
20.04.21
H2H
Chelsea
Brighton
0
0
D