ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
10.10.2026 14:00
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bournemouth Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea2.04
Bournemouth2.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea Chelsea
WWDLW
26 GF / 23 GA
Bournemouth Bournemouth
WLDWL
30 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.36
Average Goals Scored
2.73
2.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
8
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
9
5.2
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chelsea Chelsea 11 matches
Bournemouth Bournemouth 11 matches
Chelsea Statistic Bournemouth
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 4
4 Losses 3
26 Goals For 30
23 Goals Against 17
2.36 Avg Goals Scored 2.73
2.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
8 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
5.2 Shots On Goal 4.83
14.4 Total Shots 13.17
6.6 Corners 4
47.4% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 7 times, Bournemouth won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Chelsea's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Chelsea 3-4-2-1 / Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 7, draws 5, Bournemouth wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 13:5 8 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 8:4 4 12
L W W W W
3 5 3 1 1 16:5 11 10
W W D L W
4 5 2 3 0 10:4 6 9
W D D D W
5 5 2 3 0 7:3 4 9
D W D D W
6 5 2 3 0 7:4 3 9
W D W D D
7 5 2 3 0 6:3 3 9
W D D D W
8 5 2 2 1 6:4 2 8
L D D W W
9 5 2 2 1 9:9 0 8
W L D W D
10 5 2 1 2 10:12 -2 7
L D L W W
11 5 2 0 3 7:11 -4 6
L W L L W
12 5 1 2 2 8:8 0 5
D L D W L
13 5 1 2 2 4:5 -1 5
L W D D L
14 5 1 1 3 6:10 -4 4
L L D W L
15 5 1 1 3 6:11 -5 4
D L W L L
16 5 1 1 3 4:9 -5 4
W L D L L
17 5 0 3 2 6:8 -2 3
L D D D L
18 5 1 0 4 1:10 -9 3
W L L L L
19 5 0 2 3 5:8 -3 2
D D L L L
20 5 0 2 3 2:8 -6 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship