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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
19.12.2026 15:00
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 0%
Draw 0%
Aston Villa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea2.04
Aston Villa1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea Chelsea
L W W L D
9 GF / 8 GA
Aston Villa Aston Villa
W W W W D
14 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2.36
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
9
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
17
5.38
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chelsea Chelsea 14 matches
Aston Villa Aston Villa 20 matches
Chelsea Statistic Aston Villa
7 Wins 9
2 Draws 2
5 Losses 9
33 Goals For 39
26 Goals Against 31
2.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
9 BTTS Yes 14
13 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
5.38 Shots On Goal 4.83
13.38 Total Shots 14
5.63 Corners 4.17
46.5% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 6 times, Aston Villa won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from Chelsea's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Chelsea 3-4-2-1 / Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 6, draws 3, Aston Villa wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 20:9 11 21
L W W W W
2 7 6 0 1 11:5 6 18
W W L W W
3 7 5 1 1 23:5 18 16
W W W W D
4 7 4 1 2 17:13 4 13
W W L D L
5 7 3 3 1 9:8 1 12
W L W D W
6 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
W W D W L
7 7 2 4 1 13:8 5 10
L D W D D
8 7 2 4 1 9:6 3 10
D L D W D
9 7 2 4 1 8:7 1 10
L D W D D
10 8 3 1 4 12:16 -4 10
D L W L W
11 7 2 3 2 8:7 1 9
L D L D D
12 7 2 2 3 10:14 -4 8
L L W L D
13 7 1 4 2 10:10 0 7
D D D L D
14 7 2 1 4 9:17 -8 7
L W D L W
15 7 1 3 3 9:13 -4 6
W L L D D
16 7 1 3 3 6:10 -4 6
W D L D D
17 8 1 3 4 6:10 -4 6
D L L L W
18 7 2 0 5 6:14 -8 6
L W W L L
19 7 1 2 4 7:10 -3 5
W L D D L
20 7 1 1 5 6:14 -8 4
L L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship