Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 0%
Draw 0%
Aston Villa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea2.33
Aston Villa1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea
WWDLW
24 GF / 18 GA
Aston Villa
WLDWL
18 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
7
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
10
5.67
Shots on Goal
2.8
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chelsea
9 matches
Aston Villa
12 matches
| Chelsea | Statistic | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 3 | Losses | 8 |
| 24 | Goals For | 18 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.83 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.67 | Shots On Goal | 2.8 |
| 16 | Total Shots | 12.4 |
| 3.67 | Corners | 3 |
| 36.3% | Ball Possession | 43% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 6 times, Aston Villa won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from Chelsea's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Chelsea 3-4-2-1 / Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 6, draws 3, Aston Villa wins 6
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Chelsea
Home
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 4 |
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 |
Aston Villa
Away
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship