Chelsea
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 0%
Draw 0%
Aston Villa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea1.48
Aston Villa1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea
WWDLW
42 GF / 25 GA
Aston Villa
WLDWL
37 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
13
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
13
5.09
Shots on Goal
4.61
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chelsea
23 matches
Aston Villa
23 matches
| Chelsea | Statistic | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 16 |
| 6 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 4 |
| 42 | Goals For | 37 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.61 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.09 | Shots On Goal | 4.61 |
| 13.87 | Total Shots | 11.87 |
| 5.48 | Corners | 5.17 |
| 57.7% | Ball Possession | 54.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 6 times, Aston Villa won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from Chelsea's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Chelsea 4-2-3-1 / Aston Villa 4-4-2
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 6, draws 3, Aston Villa wins 6
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Aston Villa
Away
|
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Chelsea
Home
|
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship