Chelsea
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 0%
Draw 0%
Aston Villa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea1.48
Aston Villa1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea
WWDLW
42 GF / 25 GA
Aston Villa
WLDWL
37 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
13
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
13
5.09
Shots on Goal
4.61
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chelsea
23 matches
Aston Villa
23 matches
| Chelsea | Statistic | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 16 |
| 6 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 4 |
| 42 | Goals For | 37 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.61 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.09 | Shots On Goal | 4.61 |
| 13.87 | Total Shots | 11.87 |
| 5.48 | Corners | 5.17 |
| 57.7% | Ball Possession | 54.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 6 times, Aston Villa won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from Chelsea's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Chelsea 4-2-3-1 / Aston Villa 4-4-2
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 6, draws 3, Aston Villa wins 6
Stats
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots on Goal
8
8
Shots off Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
1
1
Blocked Shots
7
7
Blocked Shots
2
2
Lineups
Chelsea
Formation
Aston Villa
R. Sanchez
R. James
T. Chalobah
B. Badiashile
M. Cucurella
M. Caicedo
E. Fernandez
P. Neto
C. Palmer
A. Garnacho
Joao Pedro
E. Martinez
M. Cash
E. Konsa
V. Lindelof
I. Maatsen
J. McGinn
B. Kamara
Y. Tielemans
E. Buendia
D. Malen
M. Rogers
Chelsea
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
R. Sanchez
G
24
R. James
D
🎯 37'
🟨 57'
23
T. Chalobah
D
🟨 68'
5
B. Badiashile
D
3
M. Cucurella
D
↓ 69'
25
M. Caicedo
M
🟨 71'
8
E. Fernandez
M
🟨 90+4'
7
P. Neto
M
10
C. Palmer
M
↓ 72'
49
A. Garnacho
M
↓ 69'
20
Joao Pedro
F
⚽ 37'
↓ 69'
Substitutes
12
F. Jorgensen
G
29
W. Fofana
D
27
M. Gusto
D
↑ 69'
11
J. Gittens
F
↑ 69'
17
Andrey Santos
M
41
Estêvão
F
↑ 72'
4
T. Adarabioyo
D
9
L. Delap
F
↑ 69'
🟨 71'
34
J. Acheampong
D
Aston Villa
4-4-2
Starting XI
23
E. Martinez
G
2
M. Cash
D
🟨 30'
4
E. Konsa
D
3
V. Lindelof
D
22
I. Maatsen
D
↓ 83'
7
J. McGinn
M
↓ 59'
44
B. Kamara
M
↓ 83'
🟨 78'
8
Y. Tielemans
M
🎯 84'
10
E. Buendia
M
↓ 58'
17
D. Malen
F
↓ 59'
27
M. Rogers
F
🟨 57'
Substitutes
40
M. Bizot
G
11
O. Watkins
F
⚽ 63'
⚽ 84'
↑ 58'
24
A. Onana
M
↑ 59'
26
L. Bogarde
M
↑ 83'
12
L. Digne
D
↑ 83'
19
J. Sancho
F
↑ 59'
20
J. Jimoh-Aloba
M
53
G. Hemmings
M
16
A. Garcia
D
Last matches: Chelsea
15.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
09.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Johor Darul Takzim FC
3
3
D
08.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
05.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Juventus
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Chelsea
Western Sydney Wanderers
6
4
W
24.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Sunderland
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Liverpool
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brighton
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Everton
0
3
L
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
11.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
2
5
L
Last matches: Aston Villa
15.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
2
L
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
H2H: Chelsea vs Aston Villa
04.03.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
W
27.12.25
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
2
L
22.02.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
2
1
L
01.12.24
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
3
0
W
27.04.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
2
2
D
07.02.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
3
W
26.01.24
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
0
D
24.09.23
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
1
L
01.04.23
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
2
L
11.12.22
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
1
L
11.12.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
0
L
16.10.22
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
2
W
26.12.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
3
W
22.09.21
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
1
D
11.09.21
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
3
0
W
Last matches: Chelsea
15.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
08.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
05.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Juventus
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Chelsea
Western Sydney Wanderers
6
4
W
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Burnley
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
31.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
West Ham
3
2
W
21.01.26
UEF
Chelsea
Pafos
1
0
W
17.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brentford
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Bournemouth
2
2
D
H2H at home: Chelsea
27.12.25
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
2
L
01.12.24
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
3
0
W
26.01.24
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
0
D
24.09.23
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
1
L
01.04.23
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
2
L
11.12.22
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
1
L
22.09.21
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
1
D
11.09.21
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
3
0
W
Last matches: Aston Villa
15.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
2
L
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1
3
L
12.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
1
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Aston Villa
Tottenham
2
1
W
H2H away: Aston Villa
27.12.25
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
2
W
01.12.24
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
3
0
L
26.01.24
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
0
D
24.09.23
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
1
W
01.04.23
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
2
W
11.12.22
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
0
1
W
22.09.21
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
1
D
11.09.21
H2H
Chelsea
Aston Villa
3
0
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Aston Villa
Away
|
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Chelsea
Home
|
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship