Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
80.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
68.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
70.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Charlotte
New York City FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Charlotte
16 matches
New York City FC
17 matches
| Charlotte | Statistic | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 6 | Losses | 7 |
| 26 | Goals For | 28 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.75 | Shots On Goal | 5.42 |
| 10.83 | Total Shots | 12.25 |
| 4.25 | Corners | 3.92 |
| 47.8% | Ball Possession | 57.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with New York City FC's more proactive style and Charlotte's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. New York City FC seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring New York City FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 15 points from 12 games and a place of 8, Charlotte still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 20:21, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through P. Biel (6 goals), Idan Toklomati Jorno (4 goals), A. Goodwin (3 goals), with creative support from P. Biel (3 assists), L. Abada (2 assists), Idan Toklomati Jorno (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with H. Kessler, H. Toffolo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
New York City FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 15 points from 12 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 22:18, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through N. Mercau (8 goals), H. Wolf (5 goals), A. Ojeda (3 goals), with creative support from M. Moralez (6 assists), A. Ojeda (3 assists), N. Mercau (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Martinez, A. Perea, D. Baiera unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Charlotte won 6 times, New York City FC won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from Charlotte's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.23 goals per game.
Charlotte
2
1
2
2
1
1
Lineups
Charlotte
New England Revolution
Charlotte
Toronto FC
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
New England Revolution
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
Inter Miami
Charlotte
Austin
Charlotte
Los Angeles Galaxy
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Charlotte
Minnesota United FC
Charlotte
San Jose Earthquakes
Charlotte
Sporting Kansas City
Charlotte
Charleston Battery
New York City FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
DC United
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
Charlotte
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New York City FC
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
New York City FC
Austin
New York City FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Charlotte
New England Revolution
Charlotte
Toronto FC
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
Inter Miami
Charlotte
Austin
Charlotte
Minnesota United FC
Charlotte
Charleston Battery
New York City FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
CF Montreal
New York City FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
New York City FC
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
New York City FC
Los Angeles FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 20 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | 22 | 32 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 8 | 25 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:17 | 7 | 24 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Charlotte
Home
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 6 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 24 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
New York City FC
Away
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 20 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 17 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 16 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 14 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:36 | -22 | 11 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
D
|