🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
23.05.2026 23:30
Bank of America Stadium
Referee: Fotis Bazakos, USA
Charlotte
Match Timeline
New England Revolution
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
David Schnegg
Charlotte
16'
I. Toklomati · Assist: W. Cleary
Charlotte
🟨
27'
Peyton Miller
New England Revolution
🟨
58'
David Schnegg
Charlotte
🟥
58'
David Schnegg
Charlotte
🔄
61'
K. A. Calderon Vargas ↔ A. Privett
Charlotte
🟨
62'
Mamadou Fofana
New England Revolution
🟨
65'
Ethan Kohler
New England Revolution
🟨
68'
Brayan Ceballos
New England Revolution
🔄
75'
E. Kohler ↔ G. Yow
New England Revolution
🔄
79'
I. Toklomati ↔ B. Bronico
Charlotte
🔄
79'
M. Polster ↔ M. Zambrano
New England Revolution
🔄
79'
D. Fagundez ↔ E. Klein
New England Revolution
🔄
85'
B. Ceballos ↔ C. Oliveira
New England Revolution
🔄
88'
P. Biel ↔ A. Goodwin
Charlotte
🔄
88'
D. Diani ↔ L. de la Torre
Charlotte

Charlotte vs New England Revolution Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Charlotte Win 58.1%
Draw 0%
New England Revolution Win 41.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charlotte1.5
New England Revolution1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charlotte Charlotte
WWDLW
29 GF / 26 GA
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WLDWL
38 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
2.11
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
12
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
13
4.64
Shots on Goal
3.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charlotte Charlotte 18 matches
New England Revolution New England Revolution 18 matches
Charlotte Statistic New England Revolution
8 Wins 10
3 Draws 2
7 Losses 6
29 Goals For 38
26 Goals Against 24
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 2.11
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
12 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 2
4.64 Shots On Goal 3.92
10.93 Total Shots 9.85
4.71 Corners 3.69
47.6% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by New England Revolution's more proactive style and Charlotte's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward New England Revolution. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Charlotte have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. New England Revolution carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 25 points while Charlotte sit 7 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Charlotte Analysis

Charlotte sit 7 with 18 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 23:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on P. Biel (7 goals), Idan Toklomati Jorno (4 goals), A. Goodwin (3 goals), with creative support from P. Biel (3 assists), K. A. Calderon Vargas (3 assists), L. Abada (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

New England Revolution Analysis

New England Revolution come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 25 points after 13 matches. The return of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 22:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Carles Gil (5 goals), Luca Langoni (3 goals), P. Miller (3 goals), with creative support from Luca Langoni (6 assists), Dor Turgeman (4 assists), Carles Gil (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Charlotte won 4 times, New England Revolution won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:10 from Charlotte's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Charlotte 4-2-3-1 / New England Revolution 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Charlotte 2, New England Revolution 4
H2H summary: Charlotte wins 4, draws 0, New England Revolution wins 6

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 9 6 10 46:39 7 33
W W W W D
8 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
9 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)