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10.10.2026 23:30
Bank of America Stadium
Referee: D. Fischer
Charlotte
Match Timeline
FC Dallas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
L. Farrington · Assist: H. Johansson
FC Dallas
🔄
46'
L. Abubakar ↔ S. Ibeagha
FC Dallas
🔄
60'
D. Schnegg ↔ H. Toffolo
Charlotte
🔄
60'
B. Bronico ↔ L. de la Torre
Charlotte
🔄
60'
P. Delgado ↔ S. Moreno
FC Dallas
🔄
60'
L. Farrington ↔ P. Musa
FC Dallas
⚽
64'
P. Musa · Assist: S. Moreno
FC Dallas
🔄
69'
N. Byrne ↔ W. Cleary
Charlotte
🔄
69'
L. Abada ↔ R. Aloko
Charlotte
⚽
70'
I. Toklomati · Assist: A. Saint-Maximin
Charlotte
⚽
74'
H. Toffolo · Assist: I. Toklomati
Charlotte
🔄
75'
H. Johansson ↔ B. Kamungo
FC Dallas
🟨
78'
Osaze Urhoghide
FC Dallas
🔄
84'
J. Valiente ↔ D. Job
FC Dallas
🟨
86'
Morrison Agyemang
Charlotte
🔄
90+3'
A. Saint-Maximin ↔ D. Diani
Charlotte
⚽
90'
I. Toklomati · Assist: P. Biel
Charlotte

Charlotte vs FC Dallas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Charlotte Win 38.9%
Draw 14.4%
FC Dallas Win 46.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charlotte1.59
FC Dallas1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charlotte Charlotte
L W D W D
7 GF / 6 GA
FC Dallas FC Dallas
W D W W W
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
20
BTTS Yes
18
20
Over 2.5
21
4.85
Shots on Goal
4.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charlotte Charlotte 31 matches
FC Dallas FC Dallas 31 matches
Charlotte Statistic FC Dallas
15 Wins 15
7 Draws 9
9 Losses 7
53 Goals For 58
41 Goals Against 44
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
20 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 23
20 Over 2.5 21
12 Over 3.5 14
6 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 8
4.85 Shots On Goal 4.7
11.44 Total Shots 12.11
4.48 Corners 4.41
46% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Dallas. FC Dallas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Charlotte expected to line up in 4-3-3 and FC Dallas in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Dallas having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Charlotte Analysis

Placed 4 with 43 points from 27 outings, Charlotte continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 47:38 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Idan Toklomati (6 goals), Pep Biel (5 goals), Liel Abada (4 goals), with creative support from Pep Biel (4 assists), Kerwin Calderón Vargas (4 assists), A. Westwood (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

FC Dallas Analysis

FC Dallas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 47 points after 27 outings. With 13 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 50:42, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Petar Musa (11 goals), S. Moreno (4 goals), L. Farrington (4 goals), with creative support from J. Valiente (6 assists), Petar Musa (4 assists), S. Moreno (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Charlotte won 0 times, FC Dallas won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Charlotte's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: Charlotte 4-3-3 / FC Dallas 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Charlotte 4, FC Dallas 1
H2H summary: Charlotte wins 0, draws 1, FC Dallas wins 0

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 23 8 3 71:25 46 77
W W D W D
2 34 16 12 6 80:59 21 60
D W D L W
3 34 18 4 12 55:47 8 58
L L W W W
4 34 16 7 11 64:54 10 55
L W D W L
5 34 15 9 10 66:51 15 54
D W W L D
6 34 14 8 12 66:52 14 50
W L D L D
7 34 14 5 15 59:52 7 47
W W W W W
8 34 13 7 14 63:78 -15 46
W L D D W
9 34 12 10 12 67:75 -8 46
L W D W W
10 34 12 6 16 48:62 -14 42
W L L W L
11 34 10 12 12 49:45 4 42
W D W D D
12 34 9 12 13 52:67 -15 39
L L W L W
13 34 9 6 19 43:60 -17 33
L W L L L
14 34 7 12 15 39:61 -22 33
L L L L L
15 34 6 8 20 37:69 -32 26
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)