BELGIUM › JUPILER PRO LEAGUE

05.09.2026 14:00

Charleroi

2 - 3

Union St. Gilloise

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Referee: Nicolas Laforge, Belgium

Charleroi

Match Timeline

Union St. Gilloise

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 95.6%

Odds 1.25

BTTS

Yes

Probability 82.5%

Odds 1.70

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds 1.87

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	95.6%	1.25	▥
BTTS	Yes	82.5%	1.70	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	1.87	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	1.36	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	5.50	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	12.00	▥

Probability Distribution

Charleroi Win 50.3%

Draw 4.4%

Union St. Gilloise Win 45.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Charleroi1.73

Union St. Gilloise2.54

Recent Form (Last 5)

Charleroi

WWDLW

20 GF / 16 GA

Union St. Gilloise

WLDWL

38 GF / 16 GA

Key Stats

Average Goals Scored

3.17

1.6

Average Goals Conceded

1.33

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

6.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charleroi 10 matches

Union St. Gilloise 12 matches

Charleroi	Statistic	Union St. Gilloise
5	Wins	8
2	Draws	2
3	Losses	2
20	Goals For	38
16	Goals Against	16
2	Avg Goals Scored	3.17
1.6	Avg Goals Conceded	1.33
8	BTTS Yes	6
9	Over 1.5	11
8	Over 2.5	11
7	Over 3.5	7
2	Clean Sheets	6
0	Failed To Score	1
6	Shots On Goal	6.33
19.25	Total Shots	15.33
6.5	Corners	4.17
55.8%	Ball Possession	47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Charleroi won 0 times, Union St. Gilloise won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:26 from Charleroi's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)

Predicted formations: Charleroi 4-2-3-1 / Union St. Gilloise 3-4-1-2

H2H summary: Charleroi wins 0, draws 2, Union St. Gilloise wins 10

Standings

Pro League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Gent	7	6	1	0	13:4	9	19	W D W W W
2	Charleroi Home	7	6	0	1	15:7	8	18	W W L W W
3	Union St. Gilloise Away	6	5	1	0	19:3	16	16	W W W W D
4	Club Brugge KV	6	5	0	1	12:3	9	15	W W L W W
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7:5	2	13	W W D W L
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10:7	3	11	L L W D W
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13:12	1	11	L L W W W
8	SK Beveren	6	3	0	3	7:10	-3	9	W W L L W
9	Genk	6	2	3	1	13:9	4	9	D D W D W
10	St. Truiden	6	2	2	2	12:10	2	8	L W L W D
11	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6:8	-2	8	D L L W W
12	Antwerp	6	2	1	3	11:13	-2	7	L L L D W
13	KVC Westerlo	6	2	1	3	13:16	-3	7	W W D L L
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7:14	-7	4	L W L D L
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4	W D L L L
16	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8:14	-6	3	L D L L L
17	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5:14	-9	3	D L L D L
18	Kortrijk	6	0	0	6	1:15	-14	0	L L L L L