16.05.2026 14:00
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Referee: J. Vergoote
Charleroi
Match Timeline
KVC Westerlo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Bryan Reynolds
KVC Westerlo
🟨
41'
Etienne Camara
Charleroi
🔄
57'
E. Camara ↔ Y. Khalifi
Charleroi
🔄
57'
A. Bernier ↔ P. Pflucke
Charleroi
🟨
64'
Nacho Ferri
KVC Westerlo
🔄
75'
A. Scheidler ↔ A. Colassin
Charleroi
🔄
75'
L. Blum ↔ J. Romsaas
Charleroi
🔄
77'
Nacho ↔ E. Destan
KVC Westerlo
🟨
82'
Antoine Colassin
Charleroi
🔄
83'
S. Saito ↔ T. Van den Keybus
KVC Westerlo
🔄
83'
I. Sakamoto ↔ R. Laalaoui
KVC Westerlo
⚽
85'
A. Piedfort · Assist: B. Reynolds
KVC Westerlo
🔄
86'
Y. Titraoui ↔ F. Szymczak
Charleroi
🟨
90+5'
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Charleroi

Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Charleroi Win 35.5%
Draw 11.8%
KVC Westerlo Win 52.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charleroi1.31
KVC Westerlo1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charleroi Charleroi
WWDLW
48 GF / 50 GA
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
WLDWL
48 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
21
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
16
4.13
Shots on Goal
4.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charleroi Charleroi 39 matches
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 37 matches
Charleroi Statistic KVC Westerlo
13 Wins 13
9 Draws 10
17 Losses 14
48 Goals For 48
50 Goals Against 53
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
21 BTTS Yes 15
30 Over 1.5 29
17 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 9
11 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 13
4.13 Shots On Goal 4.7
12.15 Total Shots 14.3
5.08 Corners 5.05
46.6% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KVC Westerlo. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. KVC Westerlo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Charleroi Analysis

Charleroi approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 30 points after 37 outings. With 13 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats plus a goal balance of 47:48, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Guiagon (9 goals), A. Bernier (6 goals), Y. Titraoui (5 goals), with creative support from P. Guiagon (5 assists), K. Van Den Kerkhof (4 assists), Etienne Camara (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

KVC Westerlo Analysis

KVC Westerlo sit 4 with 30 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 13 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 48:53, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Nacho (11 goals), A. Sayyadmanesh (7 goals), E. Bayram (6 goals), with creative support from I. Sakamoto (4 assists), J. Alcocer (4 assists), Doğucan Haspolat (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Charleroi won 9 times, KVC Westerlo won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:19 from Charleroi's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Charleroi 4-2-3-1 / KVC Westerlo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Charleroi wins 9, draws 2, KVC Westerlo wins 4

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 50:17 33 66
W D L W L
2 30 20 3 7 59:36 23 63
W D W W W
3 30 18 3 9 47:35 12 57
W L D L W
4 30 13 6 11 49:43 6 45
W L D D D
5 30 12 9 9 39:37 2 45
L D D L W
6 30 12 8 10 43:39 4 44
L W D D L
7 30 11 9 10 46:47 -1 42
L W D D W
8 30 11 7 12 27:35 -8 40
L W D W W
9 30 10 9 11 36:40 -4 39
L L W L D
10 30 9 8 13 31:32 -1 35
W D L L L
11 30 9 7 14 38:42 -4 34
W D L W W
12 30 9 7 14 32:43 -11 34
L D W L D
13 30 8 8 14 38:47 -9 32
W W W W W
14 30 7 10 13 39:47 -8 31
L L W W W
15 30 6 13 11 30:37 -7 31
W L L L L
16 30 3 10 17 24:51 -27 19
D L L W L
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round