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22.08.2026 16:15
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Referee: J. Boterberg
Charleroi
Match Timeline
KV Mechelen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
35'
A. Ousou · Assist: P. Pflucke
Charleroi
🔄
62'
P. Pflucke ↔ F. Mbemba
Charleroi
🔄
65'
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi ↔ B. Bafdili
KV Mechelen
🔄
65'
B. Raman ↔ S. Ayodele
KV Mechelen
🔄
74'
A. Boukamir ↔ I. Cisse
Charleroi
🔄
74'
A. Scheidler ↔ A. Colassin
Charleroi
🔄
76'
D. Praet ↔ M. Kireev
KV Mechelen
🔄
76'
C. Van Meirvenne ↔ K. Vanrafelghem
KV Mechelen
⚽
77'
K. Van Den Kerkhof · Assist: A. Colassin
Charleroi
🔄
88'
A. Bernier ↔ M. Sow
Charleroi
🔄
88'
M. Nzita ↔ A. Bojang
Charleroi

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Charleroi Win 58.8%
Draw 15.5%
KV Mechelen Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charleroi1.62
KV Mechelen1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charleroi Charleroi
W W L W D
10 GF / 7 GA
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
D L D L L
5 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
7
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
5
7.5
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charleroi Charleroi 8 matches
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 9 matches
Charleroi Statistic KV Mechelen
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
15 Goals For 13
15 Goals Against 11
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
7 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 6
7 Over 2.5 5
6 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 3
7.5 Shots On Goal 3
23.5 Total Shots 12
9 Corners 3
57% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Charleroi won 5 times, KV Mechelen won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:24 from Charleroi's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Charleroi 4-2-3-1 / KV Mechelen 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Charleroi wins 5, draws 3, KV Mechelen wins 7

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 26:8 18 27
W W W W W
2 10 8 2 0 29:7 22 26
W W D W W
3 10 8 1 1 19:6 13 25
L W W W D
4 10 8 0 2 21:12 9 24
W L W W W
5 10 6 1 3 13:11 2 19
W L W W W
6 10 4 3 3 18:14 4 15
L W W L D
7 10 4 3 3 13:11 2 15
W D W D L
8 10 4 2 4 25:25 0 14
L D W W W
9 10 3 3 4 15:16 -1 12
D L L L L
10 10 3 2 5 12:16 -4 11
L L L L L
11 10 3 1 6 16:22 -6 10
L W L L L
12 10 3 1 6 13:20 -7 10
L D L L W
13 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
W D D W D
14 9 2 3 4 10:17 -7 9
W W D L L
15 10 2 2 6 18:21 -3 8
L L L L L
16 10 2 1 7 13:23 -10 7
L W L L W
17 10 1 3 6 13:22 -9 6
W L L L D
18 9 1 1 7 3:19 -16 4
D L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League