BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Referee: Jan Boterberg, Belgium
Charleroi
Match Timeline
KV Mechelen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
A. Ousou · Assist: P. Pflucke
Charleroi
🔄
62'
P. Pflucke ↔ F. Mbemba
Charleroi
🔄
65'
B. Raman ↔ S. Ayodele
KV Mechelen
🔄
65'
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi ↔ B. Bafdili
KV Mechelen
🔄
74'
A. Scheidler ↔ A. Colassin
Charleroi
🔄
74'
A. Boukamir ↔ I. Cisse
Charleroi
🔄
76'
C. Van Meirvenne ↔ K. Vanrafelghem
KV Mechelen
🔄
76'
D. Praet ↔ M. Kireev
KV Mechelen
77'
K. Van Den Kerkhof · Assist: A. Colassin
Charleroi
🔄
88'
M. Nzita ↔ A. Bojang
Charleroi
🔄
88'
A. Bernier ↔ M. Sow
Charleroi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.72
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.8%
1.72
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.78
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.5%
1.17
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Charleroi Win 58.8%
Draw 15.5%
KV Mechelen Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charleroi1.62
KV Mechelen1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charleroi Charleroi
WWDLW
15 GF / 15 GA
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
WLDWL
13 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
7
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
5
7.5
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charleroi Charleroi 8 matches
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 9 matches
Charleroi Statistic KV Mechelen
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
15 Goals For 13
15 Goals Against 11
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
7 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 6
7 Over 2.5 5
6 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 3
7.5 Shots On Goal 3
23.5 Total Shots 12
9 Corners 3
57% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Charleroi won 5 times, KV Mechelen won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:24 from Charleroi's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Charleroi 4-2-3-1 / KV Mechelen 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Charleroi wins 5, draws 3, KV Mechelen wins 7
Stats
Charleroi Charleroi
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 2
8 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 0
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Goal 0
6 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 2
4 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
575 Total passes 385
476 Passes accurate 293
1.44 expected_goals 0.23
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Charleroi
Formation
KV Mechelen
M. Kone
M. Kone
K. Van Den Kerkhof
K. Van Den Kerkhof
A. Ousou
A. Ousou
C. Keita
C. Keita
M. Nzita
M. Nzita
A. Boukamir
A. Boukamir
Y. Khalifi
Y. Khalifi
P. Pflucke
🎯
P. Pflucke
J. Romsaas
J. Romsaas
A. Bernier
A. Bernier
A. Scheidler
A. Scheidler
N. Miras
N. Miras
M. Decoene
M. Decoene
L. Marijnissen
L. Marijnissen
J. Marsa
J. Marsa
C. Van Meirvenne
C. Van Meirvenne
F. Hammar
F. Hammar
D. Praet
D. Praet
T. Koudou
T. Koudou
M. van Brederode
M. van Brederode
B. Raman
B. Raman
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi
Charleroi 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
M. Kone
G
3
K. Van Den Kerkhof
⚽ 77'
D
4
A. Ousou
⚽ 35'
D
95
C. Keita
D
24
M. Nzita
↓ 88'
D
6
A. Boukamir
↓ 74'
M
18
Y. Khalifi
M
14
P. Pflucke
🎯 35' ↓ 62'
M
8
J. Romsaas
M
17
A. Bernier
↓ 88'
M
21
A. Scheidler
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Delavallee
65
R. Teugels
D
44
M. Sow
↑ 88'
D
33
N. Solheid
D
51
M. Kera
M
19
I. Cisse
↑ 74'
M
25
A. Colassin
🎯 77' ↑ 74'
F
20
F. Mbemba
↑ 62'
F
9
A. Bojang
↑ 88'
F
KV Mechelen 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
13
N. Miras
G
39
M. Decoene
D
2
L. Marijnissen
D
3
J. Marsa
D
17
C. Van Meirvenne
↓ 76'
6
F. Hammar
M
26
D. Praet
↓ 76'
M
7
T. Koudou
M
9
M. van Brederode
F
14
B. Raman
↓ 65'
F
19
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
1
O. De Wolf
G
20
K. Corbanie
D
22
L. Golic
10
M. Kireev
↑ 76'
M
49
M. Van Helden
M
40
A. Ouahabi
M
11
B. Bafdili
↑ 65'
M
27
K. Vanrafelghem
↑ 76'
F
16
S. Ayodele
↑ 65'
F
Last matches: Charleroi
16.08.26
Jup
Charleroi
Lommel United
1
0
W
09.08.26
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Charleroi
Rayo Vallecano
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Charleroi
Seraing United
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Charleroi
Lens
2
2
D
17.07.26
Fri
Charleroi
Feyenoord
1
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Charleroi
Reims
2
2
D
23.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
Standard Liege
2
0
W
19.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
1
1
D
16.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
0
1
L
10.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
Antwerp
1
0
W
02.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
Genk
2
0
W
25.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
2
0
W
21.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
Genk
1
1
D
18.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
Standard Liege
1
2
L
10.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
Antwerp
2
1
W
05.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
0
2
L
22.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
Zulte Waregem
0
1
L
14.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
0
2
L
07.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
Dender
2
2
D
Last matches: KV Mechelen
16.08.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Standard Liege
3
3
D
09.08.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Dunkerque
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Willem II
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
ADO Den Haag
2
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Heist
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Sporting Hasselt
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Rupel Boom
3
0
W
24.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
0
3
L
21.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
2
2
D
17.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
2
2
D
10.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
0
3
L
03.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
1
0
W
26.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
1
4
L
22.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
1
6
L
18.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
2
L
12.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
0
1
L
06.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
1
1
D
22.03.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
1
4
L
15.03.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
0
W
H2H: Charleroi vs KV Mechelen
22.08.26
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
2
0
W
07.12.25
H2H
KV Mechelen
Charleroi
1
0
L
04.12.25
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
2
0
W
28.09.25
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
0
2
L
18.05.25
H2H
KV Mechelen
Charleroi
1
1
D
19.04.25
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
3
0
W
08.03.25
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
31.08.24
H2H
KV Mechelen
Charleroi
5
2
L
27.12.23
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
3
1
W
11.11.23
H2H
KV Mechelen
Charleroi
1
0
L
05.02.23
H2H
KV Mechelen
Charleroi
2
2
D
12.11.22
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
0
5
L
14.05.22
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
3
2
W
23.04.22
H2H
KV Mechelen
Charleroi
1
0
L
12.03.22
H2H
KV Mechelen
Charleroi
2
2
D
Last matches: Charleroi
09.08.26
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Charleroi
Rayo Vallecano
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Charleroi
Seraing United
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Charleroi
Reims
2
2
D
19.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
1
1
D
16.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Jup
Charleroi
Genk
2
0
W
18.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
Standard Liege
1
2
L
10.04.26
Jup
Charleroi
Antwerp
2
1
W
14.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
OH Leuven
0
2
L
01.03.26
Jup
Charleroi
Club Brugge KV
1
2
L
14.02.26
Jup
Charleroi
Gent
2
3
L
07.02.26
Jup
Charleroi
Cercle Brugge
3
4
L
18.01.26
Jup
Charleroi
Standard Liege
2
0
W
19.12.25
Jup
Charleroi
Genk
2
2
D
14.12.25
Jup
Charleroi
Union St. Gilloise
1
1
D
29.11.25
Jup
Charleroi
RAAL La Louvière
0
0
D
08.11.25
Jup
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
2
0
W
24.10.25
Jup
Charleroi
Anderlecht
1
0
W
28.09.25
Jup
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
0
2
L
H2H at home: Charleroi
22.08.26
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
2
0
W
04.12.25
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
2
0
W
28.09.25
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
0
2
L
19.04.25
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
3
0
W
08.03.25
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
27.12.23
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
3
1
W
12.11.22
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
0
5
L
14.05.22
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
3
2
W
Last matches: KV Mechelen
09.08.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Willem II
0
1
L
15.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Heist
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
KV Mechelen
Sporting Hasselt
2
1
W
24.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
0
3
L
17.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
2
2
D
10.05.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
0
3
L
22.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
1
6
L
06.04.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
1
1
D
22.03.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Club Brugge KV
1
4
L
08.03.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Gent
1
3
L
22.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
2
0
W
01.02.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
OH Leuven
2
2
D
17.01.26
Jup
KV Mechelen
Union St. Gilloise
0
1
L
21.12.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
0
1
L
13.12.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Cercle Brugge
3
2
W
23.11.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Genk
1
0
W
01.11.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Anderlecht
1
3
L
19.10.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Dender
3
1
W
28.09.25
Jup
KV Mechelen
Charleroi
2
0
W
H2H away: KV Mechelen
22.08.26
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
2
0
L
04.12.25
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
2
0
L
28.09.25
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
0
2
W
19.04.25
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
3
0
L
08.03.25
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
0
1
W
27.12.23
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
3
1
L
12.11.22
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
0
5
W
14.05.22
H2H
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
3
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.66
Draw 3.88
Home 1.72
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.08
Draw 2.40
Home 2.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.25 1.58
Over 2.5 1.78
Over 2.75 2.00
Over 3.0 2.34
Over 3.25 2.64
Over 3.5 2.93
Over 4.5 5.46
Under 1.5 3.96
Under 2.25 2.41
Under 2.5 2.05
Under 2.75 1.84
Under 3.0 1.61
Under 3.25 1.49
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 3.60
Home 1.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.30
Home 2.30
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.60
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 12.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 3.82
Home 1.76
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.80
Draw 2.22
Home 2.24
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 2.61
Home 2.04
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.0 1.00
Over 1.25 1.10
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 1.75 1.26
Over 2.0 1.33
Over 2.25 1.58
Over 2.5 1.78
Over 2.75 1.90
Over 3.0 2.22
Over 3.25 2.47
Over 3.5 2.76
Over 3.75 3.28
Over 4.0 4.40
Over 4.25 4.74
Over 4.5 5.10
Over 4.75 6.39
Over 5.0 9.00
Over 5.5 9.40
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 12.00
Under 1.0 9.20
Under 1.25 5.15
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 1.75 3.38
Under 2.0 2.95
Under 2.25 2.40
Under 2.5 2.06
Under 2.75 1.77
Under 3.0 1.56
Under 3.25 1.43
Under 3.5 1.35
Under 3.75 1.25
Under 4.0 1.14
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 3.60
Home 1.83
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 2.18
Home 2.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 2.63
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.25 1.57
Over 2.5 1.77
Over 2.75 1.98
Over 3.0 2.33
Over 3.25 2.63
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.5 5.60
Over 5.5 10.50
Under 0.5 10.50
Under 1.5 3.95
Under 2.25 2.33
Under 2.5 1.98
Under 2.75 1.78
Under 3.0 1.56
Under 3.25 1.45
Under 3.5 1.37
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 5.5 1.02