BELGIUM › JUPILER PRO LEAGUE

22.08.2026 16:15

Charleroi

2 - 0

KV Mechelen

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Referee: Jan Boterberg, Belgium

Charleroi

Match Timeline

KV Mechelen

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Charleroi vs KV Mechelen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 58.8%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 71.2%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	58.8%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	71.2%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	78.5%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Charleroi Win 58.8%

Draw 15.5%

KV Mechelen Win 25.7%

Expected Goals (xG)

Charleroi1.62

KV Mechelen1.62

Recent Form (Last 5)

Charleroi

WWDLW

15 GF / 15 GA

KV Mechelen

WLDWL

13 GF / 11 GA

Key Stats

1.88

Average Goals Scored

1.44

1.88

Average Goals Conceded

1.22

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

7.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charleroi 8 matches

KV Mechelen 9 matches

Charleroi	Statistic	KV Mechelen
3	Wins	4
2	Draws	2
3	Losses	3
15	Goals For	13
15	Goals Against	11
1.88	Avg Goals Scored	1.44
1.88	Avg Goals Conceded	1.22
7	BTTS Yes	4
7	Over 1.5	6
7	Over 2.5	5
6	Over 3.5	2
1	Clean Sheets	3
0	Failed To Score	3
7.5	Shots On Goal	3
23.5	Total Shots	12
9	Corners	3
57%	Ball Possession	50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Charleroi won 5 times, KV Mechelen won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:24 from Charleroi's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)

Predicted formations: Charleroi 4-2-3-1 / KV Mechelen 3-4-1-2

H2H summary: Charleroi wins 5, draws 3, KV Mechelen wins 7

Standings

Pro League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21:3	18	19	W W W W W
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13:4	9	19	W D W W W
3	Charleroi Home	7	6	0	1	15:7	8	18	W W L W W
4	Club Brugge KV	6	5	0	1	12:3	9	15	W W L W W
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7:5	2	13	W W D W L
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10:7	3	11	L L W D W
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13:12	1	11	L L W W W
8	SK Beveren	6	3	0	3	7:10	-3	9	W W L L W
9	Genk	6	2	3	1	13:9	4	9	D D W D W
10	St. Truiden	6	2	2	2	12:10	2	8	L W L W D
11	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6:8	-2	8	D L L W W
12	KVC Westerlo	6	2	1	3	13:16	-3	7	W W D L L
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11:15	-4	7	L L L L D
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7:14	-7	4	L W L D L
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4	W D L L L
16	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8:14	-6	3	L D L L L
17	KV Mechelen Away	7	0	3	4	5:14	-9	3	D L L D L
18	Kortrijk	6	0	0	6	1:15	-14	0	L L L L L