Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
76.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Charleroi
Genk
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Charleroi
37 matches
Genk
49 matches
| Charleroi | Statistic | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 21 |
| 9 | Draws | 14 |
| 17 | Losses | 14 |
| 45 | Goals For | 77 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 70 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 34 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 39 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 29 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.19 | Shots On Goal | 5.65 |
| 12.19 | Total Shots | 15.22 |
| 5.19 | Corners | 5.31 |
| 46.6% | Ball Possession | 56.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Genk's more proactive style and Charleroi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Genk. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Charleroi arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 24 points after 35 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 44:48 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Guiagon (8 goals), A. Bernier (6 goals), Y. Titraoui (4 goals), with creative support from P. Guiagon (5 assists), Etienne Camara (3 assists), K. Van Den Kerkhof (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Genk arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 30 points after 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses, while the 52:51 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Heymans (10 goals), Z. El Ouahdi (8 goals), Oh Hyeon-Gyu (6 goals), with creative support from K. Karetsas (10 assists), J. Steuckers (6 assists), D. Heymans (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Charleroi won 3 times, Genk won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:26 from Charleroi's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50:17 | 33 | 66 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 63 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47:35 | 12 | 57 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49:43 | 6 | 45 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:39 | 4 | 44 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Genk
Away
|
30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 42 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 40 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 39 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Charleroi
Home
|
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 34 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 12 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 32 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:47 | -8 | 31 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24:51 | -27 | 19 |
D
L
L
W
L
|