ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
05.09.2026 18:30
Estadio de Chacarita Juniors
Chacarita Juniors
Match Timeline
Atlanta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
A. Dominguez · Assist: A. Dominguez
Chacarita Juniors
🟨
45'
C. Guanca
Chacarita Juniors
45'
R. Moreira · Assist: A. Dramisino
Atlanta
🟨
52'
D. Arguello
Atlanta
🔄
58'
T. Perez ↔ L. Perdomo
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
66'
T. Migliore ↔ S. Acosta
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
66'
M. Sanabria ↔ F. Cristaldo
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
71'
L. Galeano ↔ P. Ostachuk
Atlanta
🔄
71'
A. Dramisino ↔ A. Morales
Atlanta
🟨
76'
L. Perdomo
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
82'
S. Vittor ↔ E. Gerez
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
86'
I. Rodriguez ↔ R. Sosa
Atlanta
🔄
86'
D. Arguello ↔ G. Miranda
Atlanta

Chacarita Juniors vs Atlanta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.37
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.5%
1.53
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.37
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.13
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
3.75
Correct Score 1-1
-
6.00
Probability Distribution
Chacarita Juniors Win 31.5%
Draw 20.1%
Atlanta Win 48.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chacarita Juniors0.85
Atlanta1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors
WWDLW
19 GF / 29 GA
Atlanta Atlanta
WLDWL
31 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
8
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 27 matches
Atlanta Atlanta 28 matches
Chacarita Juniors Statistic Atlanta
7 Wins 13
6 Draws 3
14 Losses 12
19 Goals For 31
29 Goals Against 30
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
8 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 17
6 Over 2.5 11
2 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 11
14 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Atlanta's more proactive style and Chacarita Juniors's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atlanta carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 42 points while Chacarita Juniors sit 17 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atlanta having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atlanta. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Chacarita Juniors Analysis

With 27 points from 26 games and a place of 17, Chacarita Juniors still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 19:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlanta Analysis

Atlanta sit 4 with 42 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 13 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 31:27, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Chacarita Juniors won 5 times, Atlanta won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:8 from Chacarita Juniors's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
H2H summary: Chacarita Juniors wins 5, draws 6, Atlanta wins 3

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 10 4 31:15 16 52
D W L W W
2 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
3 29 13 11 5 33:23 10 50
D W W W W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 28 11 8 9 31:27 4 41
L W W W W
8 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
9 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
10 29 9 12 8 30:26 4 39
W L D W D
11 29 10 9 10 21:24 -3 39
L L W D D
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 29 9 8 12 25:33 -8 35
D L W D L
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation