BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
CFRJ / Maricá
Match Timeline
Nova Iguaçu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
88'
Heltton
CFRJ / Maricá

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 83.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
83.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CFRJ / Maricá Win 43.5%
Draw 40.4%
Nova Iguaçu Win 16.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
CFRJ / Maricá0.98
Nova Iguaçu1
Recent Form (Last 5)
CFRJ / Maricá CFRJ / Maricá
WWDLW
7 GF / 11 GA
Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu
WLDWL
6 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CFRJ / Maricá CFRJ / Maricá 8 matches
Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu 8 matches
CFRJ / Maricá Statistic Nova Iguaçu
2 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 3
7 Goals For 6
11 Goals Against 9
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Nova Iguaçu. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nova Iguaçu having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. CFRJ / Maricá have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

CFRJ / Maricá Analysis

CFRJ / Maricá approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 7 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 6:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Lucas Sibito (2 goals), Pablo Thomaz (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nova Iguaçu Analysis

Nova Iguaçu are currently 6 in the standings with 6 points from 7 matches. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 5:9 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Xandinho (2 goals), Augusto (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, CFRJ / Maricá won 5 times, Nova Iguaçu won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:5 from CFRJ / Maricá's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.89 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (83.9%)
H2H summary: CFRJ / Maricá wins 5, draws 4, Nova Iguaçu wins 0
Last matches: CFRJ / Maricá
07.06.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Velo Clube
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
XV de Piracicaba
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Noroeste
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Noroeste
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
XV de Piracicaba
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Velo Clube
2
1
W
09.08.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
2
2
D
02.08.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
1
2
L
26.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Rio Branco ES
0
3
L
19.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Portuguesa
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
3
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Boavista SC
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Pouso Alegre
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Porto Vitória
0
0
D
07.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Água Santa
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Água Santa
1
1
D
24.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
Last matches: Nova Iguaçu
07.06.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
XV de Piracicaba
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Noroeste
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Velo Clube
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Velo Clube
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Noroeste
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
CFRJ / Maricá
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
XV de Piracicaba
1
4
L
26.07.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Porto Vitória
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Água Santa
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
CFRJ / Maricá
1
3
L
05.07.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Pouso Alegre
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Boavista SC
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
07.06.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Portuguesa
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Portuguesa
1
1
D
24.05.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Rio Branco ES
1
0
W
17.05.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Boavista SC
2
1
W
10.05.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Pouso Alegre
0
1
L
H2H: CFRJ / Maricá vs Nova Iguaçu
30.05.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
12.04.26
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
CFRJ / Maricá
0
1
W
01.03.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
2
2
D
16.02.26
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
CFRJ / Maricá
0
1
W
12.07.25
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
CFRJ / Maricá
1
3
W
03.05.25
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
1
D
22.01.25
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
2
0
W
02.12.20
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
0
0
D
14.11.20
H2H
Nova Iguaçu
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
Last matches: CFRJ / Maricá
16.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
XV de Piracicaba
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Noroeste
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Velo Clube
2
1
W
02.08.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
1
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Portuguesa
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Boavista SC
1
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Água Santa
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
17.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Pouso Alegre
1
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
1
D
19.04.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Rio Branco ES
2
0
W
H2H at home: CFRJ / Maricá
30.05.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
01.03.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
2
2
D
03.05.25
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
1
D
22.01.25
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
2
0
W
02.12.20
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
0
0
D
Last matches: Nova Iguaçu
09.05.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Velo Clube
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Noroeste
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
XV de Piracicaba
1
4
L
19.07.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Água Santa
1
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Boavista SC
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Portuguesa
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Rio Branco ES
1
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Pouso Alegre
0
1
L
03.05.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
19.04.25
Ser
Nova Iguaçu
Porto Vitória
1
1
D
H2H away: Nova Iguaçu
30.05.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
L
01.03.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
2
2
D
03.05.25
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
1
D
22.01.25
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
2
0
L
02.12.20
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
0
0
D