MEXICO LIGA MX
25.04.2026 23:00
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Referee: Y. Peinaldo Aguirre
CF Pachuca
Match Timeline
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
U. Antuna · Assist: R. Morales
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🟥
6'
Brian García
CF Pachuca
🟨
6'
Rodrigo Lopez
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🟨
33'
Nathan Silva
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🟨
34'
Carlos Moreno
CF Pachuca
45'
R. Morales
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
46'
A. Dominguez ↔ A. Bautista
CF Pachuca
🔄
46'
Nathan Silva ↔ T. Leone
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
57'
O. Idrissi ↔ E. Montiel
CF Pachuca
🔄
63'
J. Carrillo ↔ G. Martinez
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
63'
R. Lopez ↔ Juninho
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
75'
A. Angulo ↔ J. Rivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
82'
R. Morales ↔ S. Trigos
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🟨
90+10'
Salomón Rondón
CF Pachuca
🟥
90+12'
Salomón Rondón
CF Pachuca
VAR
90+8'
Salomón Rondón
CF Pachuca
🔄
90+1'
Kenedy ↔ D. Mendez
CF Pachuca

CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 92.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
92.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
-
Probability Distribution
CF Pachuca Win 54.3%
Draw 10.8%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Pachuca1.39
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WWDLW
50 GF / 41 GA
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
WLDWL
57 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
20
BTTS Yes
23
19
Over 2.5
17
4.51
Shots on Goal
3.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 35 matches
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 34 matches
CF Pachuca Statistic U.N.A.M. - Pumas
16 Wins 14
8 Draws 12
11 Losses 8
50 Goals For 57
41 Goals Against 45
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
20 BTTS Yes 23
27 Over 1.5 28
19 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 15
7 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 3
4.51 Shots On Goal 3.97
13.97 Total Shots 12.29
4.57 Corners 4.06
50.2% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pachuca expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and U.N.A.M. - Pumas in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward U.N.A.M. - Pumas having the stronger overall control. U.N.A.M. - Pumas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors U.N.A.M. - Pumas.

CF Pachuca Analysis

Pachuca approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 31 points after 16 outings. The return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 21:13, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Kenedy (8 goals), E. Valencia (6 goals), Oussama Idrissi (5 goals), with creative support from V. Guzman (7 assists), Brian García (4 assists), Oussama Idrissi (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Analysis

U.N.A.M. - Pumas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 33 points after 16 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, with a 26:15 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on G. Martinez (9 goals), A. Angulo (7 goals), Juninho (7 goals), with creative support from Adalberto Carrasquilla (5 assists), J. Ruvalcaba (4 assists), Juninho (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CF Pachuca won 6 times, U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from CF Pachuca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1 / U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: CF Pachuca wins 6, draws 4, U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins 5

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6 17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10 17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs