MEXICO › LIGA MX
22.03.2026 23:00
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Referee: V. Arce
CF Pachuca
Match Timeline
Toluca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Everardo López
Toluca
🟨
35'
Salomón Rondón
CF Pachuca
🟨
35'
Federico Pereira
Toluca
⚽
45'
F. Romero
Toluca
🟨
50'
Sergio Barreto
CF Pachuca
🔄
57'
A. Dominguez ↔ E. Valencia
CF Pachuca
🔄
57'
Helinho ↔ F. Arce
Toluca
🔄
67'
V. Guzman ↔ E. Montiel
CF Pachuca
⚽
72'
E. Montiel · Assist: Kenedy
CF Pachuca
🔄
74'
S. Simon ↔ D. Barbosa
Toluca
🔄
74'
A. Vega ↔ J. Diaz
Toluca
VAR
77'
Fernando Arce Juárez
Toluca
🟥
78'
Fernando Arce Juárez
Toluca
🟨
81'
Paulinho
Toluca
🔄
84'
Kenedy ↔ L. Quinones
CF Pachuca
🔄
84'
O. Idrissi ↔ G. Alvarez
CF Pachuca
🔄
84'
S. D. Barreto ↔ C. Alfaro
CF Pachuca
🟨
88'
Luis Quiñones
CF Pachuca
🔄
90+1'
Paulinho ↔ S. Cordova
Toluca

CF Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
CF Pachuca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Pachuca1.13
Toluca1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WWDLW
39 GF / 33 GA
Toluca Toluca
WLDWL
68 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
2
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
15
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
18
4.47
Shots on Goal
5.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 30 matches
Toluca Toluca 34 matches
CF Pachuca Statistic Toluca
13 Wins 21
7 Draws 9
10 Losses 4
39 Goals For 68
33 Goals Against 30
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
15 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 18
6 Over 3.5 14
7 Clean Sheets 13
10 Failed To Score 8
4.47 Shots On Goal 5.76
14.23 Total Shots 17.65
4.53 Corners 5.76
50.7% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CF Pachuca won 7 times, Toluca won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:23 from CF Pachuca's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 3-4-3
H2H summary: CF Pachuca wins 7, draws 3, Toluca wins 5

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6 17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10 17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs