🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Saputo Stadium
Referee: A. Chapman
CF Montreal
Match Timeline
Portland Timbers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Daniel Rios
CF Montreal
🔄
9'
J. Caicedo ↔ D. Chara
Portland Timbers
11'
D. Rios · Assist: M. Longstaff
CF Montreal
21'
K. Kelsy · Assist: K. Velde
Portland Timbers
VAR
30'
Jímer Fory
Portland Timbers
🔄
35'
O. Escobar ↔ S. Piette
CF Montreal
45'
W. Carmona · Assist: M. Longstaff
CF Montreal
🔄
59'
A. Aravena ↔ Antony
Portland Timbers
🔄
59'
J. Fory ↔ I. Smith
Portland Timbers
🟨
68'
Jalen Neal
CF Montreal
🔄
69'
W. Carmona ↔ Ivan Jaime
CF Montreal
🔄
69'
D. Rios ↔ P. Owusu
CF Montreal
77'
C. Bassett
Portland Timbers
🟨
78'
Prince Owusu
CF Montreal
🟨
81'
Matthew Longstaff
CF Montreal
🔄
82'
K. Kelsy ↔ F. Mora
Portland Timbers
🟨
83'
Cole Bassett
Portland Timbers
🔄
88'
N. Streit ↔ M. Opoku
CF Montreal
🔄
88'
D. Thorhallsson ↔ D. Bugaj
CF Montreal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CF Montreal Win 71.8%
Draw 13%
Portland Timbers Win 15.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Montreal1.73
Portland Timbers1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WWDLW
26 GF / 34 GA
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WLDWL
27 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.69
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
9
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
10
4.36
Shots on Goal
4.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Montreal CF Montreal 16 matches
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 16 matches
CF Montreal Statistic Portland Timbers
6 Wins 5
0 Draws 3
10 Losses 8
26 Goals For 27
34 Goals Against 30
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
9 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 5
4.36 Shots On Goal 4.27
11.91 Total Shots 11.36
4.18 Corners 3.82
47.4% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CF Montreal expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Portland Timbers in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Portland Timbers having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Portland Timbers. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

CF Montreal Analysis

CF Montreal sit 11 with 12 points after 11 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 16:23 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Owusu (6 goals), M. Longstaff (3 goals), W. Carmona (3 goals), with creative support from P. Owusu (3 assists), M. Longstaff (1 assists), W. Carmona (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with F. Herbers, S. Ibrahim, B. Hidalgo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Portland Timbers Analysis

From their first 11 matches, Portland Timbers have collected 13 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 19:21 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Kelsy (4 goals), K. Velde (4 goals), A. Lassiter (2 goals), with creative support from C. Bassett (2 assists), K. Kelsy (1 assists), Antony (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with O. Fernandez, Z. McGraw, J. Mosquera unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, CF Montreal won 5 times, Portland Timbers won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from CF Montreal's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
Predicted formations: CF Montreal 4-3-3 / Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1
Missing players: CF Montreal 4, Portland Timbers 4
H2H summary: CF Montreal wins 5, draws 3, Portland Timbers wins 2
Stats
CF Montreal CF Montreal
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
6
6 Corner Kicks 9
17 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 1
43% Ball Possession 57%
23 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 5
8 Blocked Shots 6
12 Shots insidebox 11
11 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
434 Total passes 579
375 Passes accurate 523
1.85 expected_goals 1.99
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

CF Montreal
Formation
Portland Timbers
T. Gillier
T. Gillier
D. Thorhallsson
D. Thorhallsson
J. Neal
J. Neal
B. Vera
B. Vera
L. Petrasso
L. Petrasso
O. Escobar
O. Escobar
V. Loturi
V. Loturi
M. Longstaff
🎯
M. Longstaff
W. Carmona
W. Carmona
D. Rios
D. Rios
N. Streit
N. Streit
J. Pantemis
J. Pantemis
B. Bye
B. Bye
F. Surman
F. Surman
K. Miller
K. Miller
J. Fory
J. Fory
C. Bassett
C. Bassett
J. Caicedo
J. Caicedo
K. Velde
🎯
K. Velde
D. Da Costa
D. Da Costa
A. Aravena
A. Aravena
K. Kelsy
K. Kelsy
CF Montreal 4-3-3
Starting XI
31
T. Gillier
G
17
D. Thorhallsson
↓ 88'
D
2
J. Neal
🟨 68'
D
4
B. Vera
D
13
L. Petrasso
D
29
O. Escobar
↓ 35'
M
22
V. Loturi
M
8
M. Longstaff
🎯 11' 🎯 45' 🟨 81'
M
16
W. Carmona
⚽ 45' ↓ 69'
F
14
D. Rios
⚽ 11' ↓ 69' 🟨 -5'
F
23
N. Streit
↓ 88'
Substitutes
1
S. Breza
G
10
Ivan Jaime
↑ 69'
M
25
F. Amaya
M
7
M. Opoku
↑ 88'
F
27
D. Bugaj
↑ 88'
D
6
S. Piette
↑ 35'
M
9
P. Owusu
↑ 69' 🟨 78'
F
5
B. Craig
D
24
E. Morales
D
Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
41
J. Pantemis
G
5
B. Bye
D
20
F. Surman
D
4
K. Miller
D
27
J. Fory
↓ 59'
D
17
C. Bassett
⚽ 77' 🟨 83'
M
30
J. Caicedo
↓ 9'
M
99
K. Velde
🎯 21'
M
10
D. Da Costa
M
28
A. Aravena
↓ 59'
M
19
K. Kelsy
⚽ 21' ↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
25
T. Muse
G
21
D. Chara
↑ 9'
M
9
F. Mora
↑ 82'
F
80
J. Ortiz
M
29
J. Mosquera
D
6
A. Bonetig
D
7
A. Lassiter
F
11
Antony
↑ 59'
F
23
I. Smith
↑ 59'
D
Last matches: CF Montreal
23.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
0
1
L
16.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Toronto FC
0
0
D
23.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
DC United
4
4
D
16.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
2
L
09.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Atlanta United FC
1
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York City FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
4
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
3
4
L
14.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
28.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
San Diego
0
5
L
14.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
4
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
2
1
W
29.01.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2
3
L
23.01.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Slovan Liberec
2
3
L
Last matches: Portland Timbers
23.07.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
FC Dallas
2
2
D
17.07.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
5
1
W
24.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
1
3
L
17.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
0
2
L
10.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City
6
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
0
2
L
26.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Diego
2
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
0
2
L
11.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
15.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
08.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
4
L
28.02.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids
0
2
L
22.02.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
4
3
W
11.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
2
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
DC United
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
23.01.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
1
L
H2H: CF Montreal vs Portland Timbers
13.05.26
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
07.10.23
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
4
1
W
26.06.19
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
1
W
22.07.18
H2H
Portland Timbers
CF Montreal
2
2
D
20.05.17
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
4
1
W
14.07.16
H2H
Portland Timbers
CF Montreal
1
1
D
09.05.15
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
28.07.14
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
3
L
10.03.13
H2H
Portland Timbers
CF Montreal
1
2
W
28.04.12
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
Last matches: CF Montreal
16.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Toronto FC
0
0
D
16.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
2
L
09.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York City FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
4
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
H2H at home: CF Montreal
13.05.26
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
07.10.23
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
4
1
W
26.06.19
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
1
W
20.05.17
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
4
1
W
09.05.15
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
28.07.14
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
3
L
28.04.12
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
Last matches: Portland Timbers
17.07.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
5
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
0
2
L
02.05.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
0
2
L
26.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
San Diego
2
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Minnesota United FC
0
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
3
L
15.03.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
4
3
W
11.02.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
2
3
L
28.01.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
23.01.26
Fri
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
1
L
H2H away: Portland Timbers
13.05.26
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
07.10.23
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
4
1
L
26.06.19
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
1
L
20.05.17
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
4
1
L
09.05.15
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
1
2
W
28.07.14
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
3
W
28.04.12
H2H
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
0
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 3 1 33:11 22 39
W W W W W
2 16 10 4 2 42:30 12 34
W W W W W
3 15 8 2 5 29:19 10 26
L W W W L
4 15 8 2 5 22:18 4 26
D L W L W
5 16 6 5 5 40:40 0 23
W W D L D
6 16 6 4 6 27:22 5 22
W L D W W
7 16 6 4 6 26:25 1 22
D W W L D
8 16 6 4 6 26:35 -9 22
L W D W W
9 16 4 7 5 22:26 -4 19
D D D L D
10 16 5 2 9 27:44 -17 17
W L D W L
11 16 4 4 8 22:25 -3 16
L W D L L
12 16 3 7 6 22:29 -7 16
D D L L L
13 16 4 3 9 22:32 -10 15
L D D L D
14 16 3 3 10 16:26 -10 12
D L L D L
15 16 2 4 10 21:31 -10 10
W L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

CF Montreal 4 missing
-
F. Herbers
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
S. Ibrahim
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
B. Hidalgo
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
G. Synchuk
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Portland Timbers 4 missing
-
O. Fernandez
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
Z. McGraw
Questionable Back Injury
OUT
-
J. Mosquera
Questionable Ankle Injury
OUT
-
J. Fory
Questionable Injury
OUT