🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Saputo Stadium
Referee: M. De Oliveira
CF Montreal
Match Timeline
Orlando City SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
61'
Eduard Atuesta
Orlando City SC
🔄
67'
T. Spicer ↔ D. McGuire
Orlando City SC
🔄
79'
Ivan Jaime ↔ N. Streit
CF Montreal
🔄
80'
J. Ellis ↔ D. Brekalo
Orlando City SC
🔄
85'
P. Owusu ↔ D. Rios
CF Montreal
🔄
86'
S. Piette ↔ O. Escobar
CF Montreal
🟨
90+6'
Iago Silva
Orlando City SC
🔄
90+5'
W. Carmona ↔ D. Thorhallsson
CF Montreal
🔄
90+5'
G. Dorsey ↔ Z. Taifi
Orlando City SC
🔄
90+5'
A. Gomez ↔ Tiago
Orlando City SC
90'
D. Rios
CF Montreal
90'
D. Thorhallsson · Assist: V. Loturi
CF Montreal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CF Montreal Win 53.4%
Draw 25.7%
Orlando City SC Win 20.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Montreal2.08
Orlando City SC1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WWDLW
24 GF / 34 GA
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
WLDWL
23 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.53
2.27
Average Goals Conceded
2.8
9
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
13
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Montreal CF Montreal 15 matches
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 15 matches
CF Montreal Statistic Orlando City SC
5 Wins 4
0 Draws 2
10 Losses 9
24 Goals For 23
34 Goals Against 42
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
2.27 Avg Goals Conceded 2.8
9 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 4
4.3 Shots On Goal 4.45
10.8 Total Shots 11
3.5 Corners 3.82
46.8% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CF Montreal expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Orlando City SC in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orlando City SC having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Orlando City SC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. CF Montreal have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

CF Montreal Analysis

CF Montreal sit 14 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 14:23 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Owusu (6 goals), M. Longstaff (3 goals), W. Carmona (3 goals), with creative support from P. Owusu (3 assists), M. Longstaff (1 assists), W. Carmona (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Orlando City SC Analysis

Orlando City SC sit 13 with 10 points after 11 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 16:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Ojeda (7 goals), M. Pasalic (2 goals), Tyrese Spicer (2 goals), with creative support from I. Angulo (3 assists), J. Ellis (2 assists), A. Gomez (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CF Montreal won 5 times, Orlando City SC won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from CF Montreal's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (79.1%)
Predicted formations: CF Montreal 4-3-3 / Orlando City SC 5-3-2
Missing players: CF Montreal 6, Orlando City SC 3
H2H summary: CF Montreal wins 5, draws 5, Orlando City SC wins 5
Stats
CF Montreal CF Montreal
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
2
11 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 1
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots off Goal 3
8 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 5
11 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
424 Total passes 395
370 Passes accurate 339
2.31 expected_goals 0.64
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

CF Montreal
Formation
Orlando City SC
T. Gillier
T. Gillier
D. Bugaj
D. Bugaj
B. Craig
B. Craig
E. Morales
E. Morales
L. Petrasso
L. Petrasso
V. Loturi
🎯
V. Loturi
S. Piette
S. Piette
M. Longstaff
M. Longstaff
W. Carmona
W. Carmona
P. Owusu
P. Owusu
Ivan Jaime
Ivan Jaime
M. Crepeau
M. Crepeau
G. Dorsey
G. Dorsey
Iago Teodoro
Iago Teodoro
R. Jansson
R. Jansson
A. Gomez
A. Gomez
I. Angulo
I. Angulo
B. Ojeda
B. Ojeda
E. Atuesta
E. Atuesta
T. Spicer
T. Spicer
M. Ojeda
M. Ojeda
J. Ellis
J. Ellis
CF Montreal 4-3-3
Starting XI
31
T. Gillier
G
27
D. Bugaj
D
5
B. Craig
D
24
E. Morales
D
13
L. Petrasso
D
22
V. Loturi
🎯 90'
M
6
S. Piette
↓ 86'
M
8
M. Longstaff
M
16
W. Carmona
↓ 90+5'
F
9
P. Owusu
↓ 85'
F
10
Ivan Jaime
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Breza
G
17
D. Thorhallsson
⚽ 90' ↑ 90+5'
M
25
F. Amaya
M
7
M. Opoku
F
29
O. Escobar
↑ 86'
F
23
N. Streit
↑ 79'
14
D. Rios
⚽ 90' ↑ 85'
F
3
T. Aviles
D
39
A. Guboglo
D
Orlando City SC 5-3-2
Starting XI
71
M. Crepeau
G
24
G. Dorsey
↓ 90+5'
D
57
Iago Teodoro
🟨 90+6'
D
6
R. Jansson
D
3
A. Gomez
↓ 90+5'
77
I. Angulo
D
8
B. Ojeda
M
20
E. Atuesta
🟨 61'
M
14
T. Spicer
↓ 67'
M
10
M. Ojeda
F
22
J. Ellis
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Otero
G
16
W. Cartagena
M
4
D. Brekalo
↑ 80'
D
19
Z. Taifi
↑ 90+5'
M
13
D. McGuire
↑ 67'
F
5
Luis Otavio
M
29
T. Reid-Brown
D
11
Tiago
↑ 90+5'
F
23
H. Sarajian
F
Last matches: CF Montreal
23.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
0
1
L
16.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Toronto FC
0
0
D
23.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
DC United
4
4
D
16.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
2
L
13.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
02.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Atlanta United FC
1
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York City FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
4
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
3
4
L
14.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
28.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
San Diego
0
5
L
14.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
4
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
2
1
W
29.01.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2
3
L
23.01.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Slovan Liberec
2
3
L
Last matches: Orlando City SC
23.07.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
San Jose Earthquakes
4
0
W
23.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
2
6
L
16.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
4
3
W
02.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
4
3
W
25.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
DC United
2
3
L
22.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
4
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
12.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
05.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Los Angeles FC
0
6
L
21.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
5
L
14.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
2
1
W
07.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
0
5
L
02.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
22.02.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
15.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Colorado Rapids
1
4
L
11.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Lexington
1
2
L
H2H: CF Montreal vs Orlando City SC
09.05.26
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
W
14.03.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
2
1
L
12.07.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
1
1
D
19.04.25
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
0
0
D
08.02.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
1
2
W
27.07.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
4
1
L
20.04.24
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
2
D
25.02.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
0
0
D
30.09.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
3
0
L
06.05.23
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
W
17.10.22
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
W
07.05.22
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
4
1
W
27.02.22
H2H
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
2
0
L
07.11.21
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
0
2
L
20.10.21
H2H
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
1
1
D
Last matches: CF Montreal
16.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Toronto FC
0
0
D
16.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
2
L
13.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
25.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York City FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
4
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
H2H at home: CF Montreal
09.05.26
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
W
19.04.25
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
0
0
D
20.04.24
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
2
D
06.05.23
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
W
17.10.22
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
W
07.05.22
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
4
1
W
07.11.21
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
0
2
L
Last matches: Orlando City SC
23.07.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
San Jose Earthquakes
4
0
W
23.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
2
6
L
02.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
4
3
W
25.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
DC United
2
3
L
12.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
05.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Los Angeles FC
0
6
L
21.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
5
L
07.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
0
5
L
H2H away: Orlando City SC
09.05.26
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
0
0
D
20.04.24
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
2
D
06.05.23
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
L
17.10.22
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
L
07.05.22
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
4
1
L
07.11.21
H2H
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
0
2
W

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 3 1 33:11 22 39
W W W W W
2 16 10 4 2 42:30 12 34
W W W W W
3 15 8 2 5 29:19 10 26
L W W W L
4 15 8 2 5 22:18 4 26
D L W L W
5 16 6 5 5 40:40 0 23
W W D L D
6 16 6 4 6 27:22 5 22
W L D W W
7 16 6 4 6 26:25 1 22
D W W L D
8 16 6 4 6 26:35 -9 22
L W D W W
9 16 4 7 5 22:26 -4 19
D D D L D
10 16 5 2 9 27:44 -17 17
W L D W L
11 16 4 4 8 22:25 -3 16
L W D L L
12 16 3 7 6 22:29 -7 16
D D L L L
13 16 4 3 9 22:32 -10 15
L D D L D
14 16 3 3 10 16:26 -10 12
D L L D L
15 16 2 4 10 21:31 -10 10
W L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

CF Montreal 6 missing
-
F. Herbers
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
S. Ibrahim
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
B. Hidalgo
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
B. Vera
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
G. Synchuk
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
T. Aviles
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
Orlando City SC 3 missing
-
J. Gerbet
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Pasalic
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT
-
N. Miller
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT