🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
19.09.2026 23:30
Saputo Stadium

CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 39.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
39.2%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.2%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 2-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
CF Montreal Win 29.4%
Draw 39.2%
Columbus Crew Win 31.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Montreal1.47
Columbus Crew1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WWDLW
41 GF / 62 GA
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WLDWL
40 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.43
2.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
17
BTTS Yes
20
20
Over 2.5
19
4.84
Shots on Goal
3.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Montreal CF Montreal 30 matches
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 28 matches
CF Montreal Statistic Columbus Crew
7 Wins 7
6 Draws 6
17 Losses 15
41 Goals For 40
62 Goals Against 45
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
2.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
17 BTTS Yes 20
25 Over 1.5 24
20 Over 2.5 19
12 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 5
4.84 Shots On Goal 3.76
13.08 Total Shots 11.24
5.08 Corners 5
48.4% Ball Possession 55.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CF Montreal expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Columbus Crew in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Columbus Crew having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Columbus Crew. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

CF Montreal Analysis

With 21 points from 24 games and a place of 15, CF Montreal still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats with a 31:50 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on P. Owusu (5 goals), D. Ríos (3 goals), M. Longstaff (2 goals), with creative support from P. Owusu (5 assists), M. Longstaff (3 assists), V. Loturi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Columbus Crew Analysis

With 23 points from 24 games and a place of 13, Columbus Crew still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 35:41, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Diego Rossi (4 goals), D. Gazdag (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), with creative support from M. Farsi (3 assists), Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CF Montreal won 5 times, Columbus Crew won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from CF Montreal's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (70.6%)
Predicted formations: CF Montreal 4-2-3-1 / Columbus Crew 4-4-2
H2H summary: CF Montreal wins 5, draws 4, Columbus Crew wins 6

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 9 6 10 46:39 7 33
W W W W D
8 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
9 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)