🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
09.09.2026 23:30
Saputo Stadium
Referee: Rubiel Vazquez, USA
CF Montreal
Match Timeline
Charlotte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
28'
A. Goodwin ↔ I. Toklomati
Charlotte
34'
D. Rios · Assist: L. Petrasso
CF Montreal
37'
L. Abada · Assist: A. Saint-Maximin
Charlotte
🟨
45+4'
V. Loturi
CF Montreal
🔄
64'
W. Carmona ↔ G. Synchuk
CF Montreal
🔄
65'
D. Sealy ↔ N. Streit
CF Montreal
🔄
68'
L. de la Torre ↔ B. Bronico
Charlotte
🔄
68'
L. Abada ↔ R. Aloko
Charlotte
🟨
68'
D. Schnegg
Charlotte
🔄
75'
B. Ceballos ↔ D. Bugaj
CF Montreal
🟨
81'
M. Longstaff
CF Montreal
81'
I. Toklomati · Assist: D. Schnegg
Charlotte
🔄
86'
D. Rios ↔ O. Graham-Roache
CF Montreal
🔄
86'
B. Vera ↔ E. Morales
CF Montreal
🔄
88'
A. Saint-Maximin ↔ M. Agyemang
Charlotte

CF Montreal vs Charlotte Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.7%
Odds 2.74
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.7%
2.74
BTTS Yes
88%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.51
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.2%
1.25
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
CF Montreal Win 26%
Draw 5.4%
Charlotte Win 68.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Montreal1.38
Charlotte1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WWDLW
40 GF / 59 GA
Charlotte Charlotte
WLDWL
46 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.7
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
16
BTTS Yes
17
19
Over 2.5
17
4.83
Shots on Goal
4.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Montreal CF Montreal 28 matches
Charlotte Charlotte 27 matches
CF Montreal Statistic Charlotte
7 Wins 13
6 Draws 6
15 Losses 8
40 Goals For 46
59 Goals Against 35
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
2.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
16 BTTS Yes 17
24 Over 1.5 20
19 Over 2.5 17
12 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 6
4.83 Shots On Goal 4.96
13 Total Shots 11.43
5 Corners 4.65
48.3% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Charlotte's more proactive style and CF Montreal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Charlotte. Charlotte carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 35 points while CF Montreal sit 14 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

CF Montreal Analysis

With 21 points from 22 games and a place of 14, CF Montreal still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats with a 30:46 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Prince Owusu (5 goals), Matthew Longstaff (2 goals), Daniel Rios (2 goals), with creative support from Prince Owusu (5 assists), Matthew Longstaff (3 assists), Victor Loturi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Charlotte Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 35 points from 22 games, Charlotte bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 40:32, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Pep Biel (4 goals), Idan Toklomati (4 goals), Kerwin Calderón Vargas (2 goals), with creative support from Pep Biel (4 assists), Kerwin Calderón Vargas (4 assists), Liel Abada (1 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, CF Montreal won 5 times, Charlotte won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:6 from CF Montreal's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: CF Montreal 4-3-3 / Charlotte 4-3-3
Missing players: CF Montreal 5, Charlotte 4
H2H summary: CF Montreal wins 5, draws 1, Charlotte wins 2

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
8 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
9 24 8 6 10 41:39 2 30
W W W D D
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)