Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
75.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
97.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Cesena
Padova
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cesena
38 matches
Padova
38 matches
| Cesena | Statistic | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 11 |
| 11 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 17 |
| 42 | Goals For | 35 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 3.84 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 12.79 | Total Shots | 10.61 |
| 4.71 | Corners | 3.95 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 46.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Padova. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cesena expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Padova in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Padova having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 37 matches, Cesena have collected 46 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, while the 42:52 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Shpendi (10 goals), R. Ciervo (5 goals), Gianluca Frabotta (4 goals), with creative support from T. Berti (7 assists), C. Shpendi (4 assists), R. Ciervo (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Padova sit 13 with 43 points after 37 league matches. The record of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats, together with a 35:46 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Bortolussi (10 goals), K. Lasagna (6 goals), F. Sgarbi (4 goals), with creative support from Alessandro Capelli (5 assists), K. Varas (4 assists), C. Buonaiuto (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Cesena won 1 times, Padova won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:10 from Cesena's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.
Cesena
11
7
7
4
12
4
Lineups
Cesena
Forli
Cesena
Vis Pesaro
Cesena
Fossombrone
Cesena
Athletic Carpi
Cesena
Carrarese
Cesena
Sampdoria
Cesena
Palermo
Cesena
Juve Stabia
Cesena
Sudtirol
Cesena
Catanzaro
Cesena
Mantova
Cesena
Frosinone
Cesena
Modena
Cesena
Monza
Cesena
Empoli
Cesena
Spezia
Cesena
Venezia
Cesena
Virtus Entella
Cesena
Pescara
Cesena
Avellino
Padova
Monza
Padova
Cittadella
Padova
Ospitaletto
Padova
Sassuolo
Padova
Pescara
Padova
Virtus Entella
Padova
Reggiana
Padova
Empoli
Padova
Frosinone
Padova
Palermo
Padova
Venezia
Padova
Catanzaro
Padova
Avellino
Padova
Spezia
Padova
Modena
Padova
Bari
Padova
Sampdoria
Padova
Carrarese
Padova
Juve Stabia
Padova
Monza
Cesena
Vis Pesaro
Cesena
Fossombrone
Cesena
Athletic Carpi
Cesena
Sampdoria
Cesena
Sudtirol
Cesena
Catanzaro
Cesena
Frosinone
Cesena
Monza
Cesena
Spezia
Cesena
Venezia
Cesena
Pescara
Cesena
Bari
Cesena
Empoli
Cesena
Juve Stabia
Cesena
Mantova
Cesena
Modena
Cesena
Avellino
Cesena
Carrarese
Cesena
Reggiana
Cesena
Palermo
Padova
Monza
Padova
Cittadella
Padova
Sassuolo
Padova
Virtus Entella
Padova
Frosinone
Padova
Venezia
Padova
Avellino
Padova
Modena
Padova
Sampdoria
Padova
Juve Stabia
Padova
Sudtirol
Padova
Palermo
Padova
Reggiana
Padova
Pescara
Padova
Mantova
Padova
Spezia
Padova
Catanzaro
Padova
Bari
Padova
Monza
Padova
Carrarese
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Padova
Away
|
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 11 |
Cesena
Home
|
38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|