14.03.2026 13:00
Estadio Luis Troccoli
Referee: J. Burgos
Cerro
Match Timeline
Progreso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
E. Sosa
Cerro
🟨
29'
T. Rijo
Cerro
🟨
32'
N. Fernandez
Progreso
🟨
34'
D. Suarez
Cerro
🔄
46'
G. Silva ↔ A. Paz
Progreso
🔄
62'
B. Aleman ↔ A. Severo
Cerro
🔄
63'
C. Barros ↔ A. Mendez
Cerro
🔄
74'
B. Morales ↔ A. Cambon
Cerro
🔄
74'
T. Rijo ↔ N. Soria
Cerro
🔄
74'
N. Lopez ↔ D. Sanchez
Progreso
🔄
78'
D. Suarez ↔ R. Carlos
Cerro
🔄
83'
N. Fernandez ↔ F. Fernandez
Progreso
🔄
84'
S. Viera ↔ J. Rivero
Progreso
⚽
84'
F. Fernandez
Progreso
🟨
90+5'
A. Macelli
Cerro
🔄
90+2'
A. Cougo ↔ F. Garcia
Progreso

Cerro vs Progreso Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Cerro Win 0%
Draw 0%
Progreso Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro1.04
Progreso1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerro Cerro
WWDLW
2 GF / 7 GA
Progreso Progreso
WLDWL
4 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.4
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
2
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerro Cerro 5 matches
Progreso Progreso 5 matches
Cerro Statistic Progreso
0 Wins 0
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
2 Goals For 4
7 Goals Against 10
0.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 2
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 4
1 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerro won 4 times, Progreso won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:18 from Cerro's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Cerro 4-3-3 / Progreso 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Cerro wins 4, draws 4, Progreso wins 7

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 18 5 6 48:24 24 58
W W W W L
2 30 16 7 7 46:27 19 55
W W L W L
3 29 16 5 8 51:34 17 53
L W W W W
4 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
L D W L W
5 30 15 4 11 45:38 7 49
W W D D W
6 30 13 8 9 38:36 2 47
W D D L W
7 30 12 10 8 39:28 11 46
W D L W D
8 30 10 8 12 32:39 -7 38
L L D D L
9 30 9 9 12 35:39 -4 36
D W D D W
10 30 8 11 11 26:33 -7 35
W L W D L
11 30 9 7 14 38:40 -2 34
L L L L L
12 30 8 9 13 28:34 -6 33
L L D L D
13
Cerro Home
30 9 6 15 23:43 -20 33
D L W W D
14 30 8 6 16 29:42 -13 30
L L L L D
15 30 8 4 18 25:43 -18 28
W W L W W
16 30 4 14 12 24:39 -15 26
L D D L L
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