Cerro
Match Timeline
Penarol
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Cerro Win 0%
Draw 0%
Penarol Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro0.83
Penarol1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerro
WWDLW
11 GF / 13 GA
Penarol
WLDWL
26 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
2
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.69
4
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro
12 matches
Penarol
13 matches
| Cerro | Statistic | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 9 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 5 | Losses | 1 |
| 11 | Goals For | 26 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.69 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerro won 1 times, Penarol won 11 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:33 from Cerro's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Cerro 4-1-4-1 / Penarol 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cerro wins 1, draws 3, Penarol wins 11
Lineups
Cerro
Formation
Penarol
R. Bacchia
M. Suarez
A. Macelli
N. Fuica
A. Frugone
I. Neira
S. Caceres
A. Miranda
S. Paiva
E. Larrosa
M. Ocampo
B. Cortes
Jesus Trindade
J. Mendez
E. Gularte
M. Olivera
E. Remedi
I. Sosa
M. Silvera
L. Fernandez
D. G. Garcia Cardozo
M. Arezo
Cerro
3-4-1-2
(estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
25
R. Bacchia
G
43
M. Suarez
D
7
A. Macelli
M
28
N. Fuica
D
6
A. Frugone
D
🟨 49'
30
I. Neira
M
⚽ 54'
32
S. Caceres
M
8
A. Miranda
M
29
S. Paiva
F
↓ 74'
9
E. Larrosa
F
⚽ 24'
↓ 90+1'
77
M. Ocampo
M
↓ 68'
Substitutes
1
M. Cubero
G
2
H. Salaberry
D
5
M. Villar
D
15
E. Cuello
M
↑ 74'
19
F. Techera
F
21
M. Nichele
F
22
F. Acosta
M
24
I. Valenzuela
D
↑ 68'
27
S. Camacho
F
31
B. Morales
F
↑ 90+1'
🟨 90+5'
Penarol
3-4-1-2
(estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
12
B. Cortes
G
24
Jesus Trindade
M
🟨 49'
23
J. Mendez
D
🟨 52'
17
E. Gularte
D
🟨 77'
15
M. Olivera
D
↓ 42'
29
E. Remedi
M
🟨 82'
5
I. Sosa
M
↓ 61'
🟨 47'
11
M. Silvera
F
10
L. Fernandez
M
50
D. G. Garcia Cardozo
M
↓ 61'
19
M. Arezo
F
Substitutes
25
M. Campana
G
6
K. Rodriguez
D
21
G. Silva
D
22
D. Suarez
D
27
Lucas Hernandez
D
↑ 42'
🟨 90+5'
33
J. Daguer
55
L. Couture
M
14
A. Cruz
M
↑ 61'
28
J. Baez
M
↑ 61'
🟨 84'
30
S. Muhlethaler
M
Last matches: Cerro
26.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
07.06.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
4
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Wanderers
0
3
L
25.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
16.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Albion FC
0
3
L
Last matches: Penarol
18.07.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
3
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
07.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
1
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.05.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Juventud
2
2
D
17.04.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
0
2
L
10.04.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Progreso
2
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
2
0
W
H2H: Cerro vs Penarol
07.06.26
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
21.03.26
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
3
1
L
25.10.25
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
2
0
W
28.06.25
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
2
0
L
27.04.25
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
3
1
L
22.09.24
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
5
L
09.03.24
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
3
0
L
19.08.23
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
1
D
04.02.23
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
2
0
L
16.01.21
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
1
D
15.02.20
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
2
1
L
06.11.19
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
L
20.04.19
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
1
1
D
02.09.18
H2H
Penarol
Cerro
3
2
L
21.03.18
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
3
L
Last matches: Cerro
26.07.26
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Central Espanol
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Juventud
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Cerro
Progreso
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Cerro
Danubio
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Boston River
0
0
D
01.11.25
Pri
Cerro
Club Nacional
0
0
D
11.10.25
Pri
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
21.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Miramar
1
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Cerro
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
24.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
10.08.25
Pri
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
22.10.22
Seg
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
0
0
D
08.10.22
Seg
Cerro
Miramar
1
3
L
H2H at home: Cerro
07.06.26
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
L
25.10.25
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
2
0
W
22.09.24
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
5
L
19.08.23
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
1
D
16.01.21
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
1
D
06.11.19
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
L
21.03.18
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
3
L
Last matches: Penarol
12.07.26
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
07.06.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Penarol
Platense
1
1
D
01.05.26
CON
Penarol
Corinthians
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Wanderers
0
1
L
10.04.26
CON
Penarol
Santa Fe
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Penarol
Progreso
2
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Boston River
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Albion FC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Penarol
Club Nacional
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Penarol
Central Espanol
1
2
L
30.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Club Nacional
0
1
L
16.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
1
W
09.11.25
Pri
Penarol
Atletico Torque
2
0
W
11.10.25
Pri
Penarol
Miramar
2
2
D
27.09.25
Pri
Penarol
Cerro Largo
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
2
2
D
31.08.25
Pri
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
4
1
W
H2H away: Penarol
07.06.26
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
2
0
L
22.09.24
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
5
W
19.08.23
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
1
D
16.01.21
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
1
D
06.11.19
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
1
3
W
21.03.18
H2H
Cerro
Penarol
0
3
W
Standings
Primera Division 2025, Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Penarol
Away
|
15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 30:12 | 18 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 27 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 27 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 26:10 | 16 | 26 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Cerro
Home
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:13 | 5 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 17 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8:13 | -5 | 16 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 14 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 13 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9:26 | -17 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7:25 | -18 | 7 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
Playoffs