01.08.2026 21:30
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Referee: J. Benitez
Cerro Porteno
Match Timeline
Sportivo Luqueno
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
J. Morel
Cerro Porteno
VAR
8'
Jorge Morel
Cerro Porteno
36'
P. Vegetti
Cerro Porteno
🟨
43'
Jonathan Diaz
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
46'
F. Dominguez ↔ D. Rodriguez
Cerro Porteno
🔄
46'
B. Riveros ↔ A. G. Benitez
Cerro Porteno
🔄
46'
S. Beltran ↔ G. Bogado
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
46'
S. Ocampos ↔ I. Maggi
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
52'
Jonatan Torres
Cerro Porteno
🔄
54'
J. Torres ↔ A. Gamarra
Cerro Porteno
VAR
58'
Alexis Canete
Cerro Porteno
61'
J. Morel
Cerro Porteno
🔄
62'
W. Gonzalez ↔ M. Perez
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
62'
L. Comas ↔ M. Ojeda
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
65'
C. Dominguez ↔ C. Franco
Cerro Porteno
🟨
76'
Guillermo Benitez
Cerro Porteno
🔄
77'
R. Piris ↔ C. Bobadilla
Cerro Porteno
🔄
77'
O. Ruiz ↔ T. Muro
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
79'
Derlis Rodríguez
Cerro Porteno

Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.3%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cerro Porteno Win 64.3%
Draw 11.3%
Sportivo Luqueno Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro Porteno1.42
Sportivo Luqueno1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
WWDLW
38 GF / 25 GA
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
WLDWL
27 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
11
BTTS Yes
16
9
Over 2.5
14
4.48
Shots on Goal
3.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 29 matches
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 24 matches
Cerro Porteno Statistic Sportivo Luqueno
15 Wins 6
6 Draws 5
8 Losses 13
38 Goals For 27
25 Goals Against 38
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
11 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 6
14 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 8
4.48 Shots On Goal 3.92
12.45 Total Shots 10.75
4.52 Corners 3.21
53.6% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Porteno won 7 times, Sportivo Luqueno won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:12 from Cerro Porteno's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.7%)
Predicted formations: Cerro Porteno 4-1-4-1 / Sportivo Luqueno 5-4-1
H2H summary: Cerro Porteno wins 7, draws 6, Sportivo Luqueno wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 18:11 7 22
W W L D W
2 10 6 3 1 12:8 4 21
L W D W D
3 10 6 1 3 17:9 8 19
W W D W W
4 10 5 3 2 15:6 9 18
W L W W W
5 10 5 2 3 18:9 9 17
W L W L D
6 10 4 4 2 12:11 1 16
W W L D W
7 10 4 2 4 13:10 3 14
D W W D L
8 10 3 5 2 11:9 2 14
D W D D D
9 10 3 1 6 11:20 -9 10
L L D W L
10 10 2 2 6 11:20 -9 8
L L W L D
11 10 2 1 7 13:23 -10 7
L L L L L
12 10 0 1 9 3:18 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)