PARAGUAY
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DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
24.04.2026 23:00
Cerro Porteno
Match Timeline
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
59.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Cerro Porteno Win 66.2%
Draw 0%
Sportivo Ameliano Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro Porteno1.19
Sportivo Ameliano1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerro Porteno
WWDLW
26 GF / 14 GA
Sportivo Ameliano
WLDWL
21 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.24
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
5
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
6
4.94
Shots on Goal
3.29
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro Porteno
18 matches
Sportivo Ameliano
17 matches
| Cerro Porteno | Statistic | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 7 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 26 | Goals For | 21 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.94 | Shots On Goal | 3.29 |
| 13.94 | Total Shots | 11.35 |
| 5.17 | Corners | 4.06 |
| 55.3% | Ball Possession | 49% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Porteno won 11 times, Sportivo Ameliano won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:9 from Cerro Porteno's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cerro Porteno 4-4-2 / Sportivo Ameliano 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Cerro Porteno wins 11, draws 2, Sportivo Ameliano wins 2
Standings
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 49 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 9 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Cerro Porteno
Home
|
22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
| 4 |
Sportivo Ameliano
Away
|
22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 5 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 32 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 8 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | -27 | 15 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)