Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.6%
|
1.66 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.95 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
2.08 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.9%
|
1.46 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.38 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.00 |
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro Porteno
39 matches
Rubio NU
32 matches
| Cerro Porteno | Statistic | Rubio NU |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 8 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 11 | Losses | 17 |
| 50 | Goals For | 26 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.81 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 4.31 | Shots On Goal | 3.31 |
| 12.23 | Total Shots | 11.03 |
| 4.41 | Corners | 3.84 |
| 52.5% | Ball Possession | 42.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cerro Porteno's more proactive style and Rubio NU's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rubio NU. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cerro Porteno arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 13 points compared to Rubio NU in 10 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerro Porteno expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Rubio NU in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rubio NU having the stronger overall control.
Cerro Porteno are currently 7 in the standings with 13 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 12:9 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Vegetti (4 goals), I. Ramírez (2 goals), J. Morel (2 goals), with creative support from I. Aliseda (1 assists), A. Gamarra (1 assists), Cecilio Domínguez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Rubio NU are currently 10 in the standings with 8 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 11:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Vallejos (1 goals), W. Mendieta (1 goals), R. Ruiz Díaz (1 goals), with creative support from J. Vallejos (1 assists), W. Mendieta (1 assists), R. Rojas (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Porteno won 7 times, Rubio NU won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:6 from Cerro Porteno's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:6 | 12 | 21 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 17 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 |
Cerro Porteno
Home
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Rubio NU
Away
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 11 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3:21 | -18 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|