PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Referee: D. Ojeda
Cerro Porteno
Match Timeline
Rubio NU
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Rodrigo Rojas
Rubio NU
🟨
42'
Pedro Alvarez
Rubio NU
🟨
43'
Matías Pérez
Cerro Porteno
🟨
45'
Javier Fleitas
Rubio NU
45'
J. Iturbe
Cerro Porteno
🔄
46'
M. Klimowicz ↔ F. Peralta
Cerro Porteno
🔄
46'
L. Montiel ↔ M. Roldan
Rubio NU
🔄
46'
J. Vallejos ↔ L. Gomez
Rubio NU
🔄
65'
F. Noguera ↔ I. Aliseda
Cerro Porteno
🔄
65'
A. G. Benitez ↔ B. Riveros
Cerro Porteno
🔄
65'
J. Iturbe ↔ C. Franco
Cerro Porteno
🔄
67'
W. Mendieta ↔ S. Ruiz Diaz
Rubio NU
🔄
67'
F. Martinez ↔ A. Leguizamon
Rubio NU
🟨
74'
Carlos Franco
Cerro Porteno
🔄
78'
E. Perez ↔ E. Sarquis
Rubio NU
🔄
83'
R. Gomez ↔ V. Sanchez
Cerro Porteno
90'
I. Aliseda · Assist: F. Peralta
Cerro Porteno

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 89.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
89.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cerro Porteno Win 89.3%
Draw 0%
Rubio NU Win 10.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro Porteno1.22
Rubio NU0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
WWDLW
32 GF / 21 GA
Rubio NU Rubio NU
WLDWL
15 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
0.71
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
9
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
5
4.32
Shots on Goal
3.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 25 matches
Rubio NU Rubio NU 21 matches
Cerro Porteno Statistic Rubio NU
13 Wins 6
6 Draws 5
6 Losses 10
32 Goals For 15
21 Goals Against 24
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
9 BTTS Yes 4
16 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 11
4.32 Shots On Goal 3.1
12.52 Total Shots 10.05
4.64 Corners 3.52
52.9% Ball Possession 40.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cerro Porteno's more proactive style and Rubio NU's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cerro Porteno have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerro Porteno expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Rubio NU in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rubio NU having the stronger overall control. Cerro Porteno arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 35 points compared to Rubio NU in 9 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rubio NU.

Cerro Porteno Analysis

Cerro Porteno sit 3 with 35 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats with a 28:22 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Cecilio Domínguez (5 goals), I. Aliseda (4 goals), J. Iturbe (3 goals), with creative support from Cecilio Domínguez (2 assists), I. Aliseda (2 assists), J. Morel (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Rubio NU Analysis

Rubio NU sit 9 with 23 points after 21 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, while the 15:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Perez (6 goals), W. Mendieta (2 goals), A. Leguizamon (1 goals), with creative support from C. Gimenez (3 assists), W. Mendieta (2 assists), F. Martinez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Porteno won 7 times, Rubio NU won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:6 from Cerro Porteno's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cerro Porteno 4-3-3 / Rubio NU 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cerro Porteno wins 7, draws 0, Rubio NU wins 4
Stats
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU Rubio NU
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 6
15 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 2
1 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 3
4 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
499 Total passes 369
414 Passes accurate 280
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cerro Porteno
Formation
Rubio NU
R. Fernandez
R. Fernandez
R. Gomez
R. Gomez
L. A. Quintana Rodriguez
L. A. Quintana Rodriguez
M. Perez
M. Perez
A. Luciatti
A. Luciatti
A. G. Benitez
A. G. Benitez
J. Iturbe
J. Iturbe
M. Klimowicz
M. Klimowicz
C. Bobadilla
C. Bobadilla
F. Noguera
F. Noguera
J. Torres
J. Torres
F. Fragueda
F. Fragueda
V. Cabanas
V. Cabanas
J. Vallejos
J. Vallejos
J. Gonzalez
J. Gonzalez
P. Alvarez Benitez
P. Alvarez Benitez
F. Martinez
F. Martinez
A. Cardozo Lucena
A. Cardozo Lucena
L. Montiel
L. Montiel
R. Rojas
R. Rojas
W. Mendieta
W. Mendieta
E. Perez
E. Perez
Cerro Porteno 5-4-1
Starting XI
25
R. Fernandez
33
R. Gomez
↓ 83'
D
14
L. A. Quintana Rodriguez
D
22
M. Perez
🟨 43'
D
6
A. Luciatti
D
13
A. G. Benitez
↓ 65'
D
11
J. Iturbe
⚽ 45' ↓ 65'
M
40
M. Klimowicz
↓ 46'
M
32
C. Bobadilla
M
36
F. Noguera
↓ 65'
M
27
J. Torres
F
Substitutes
1
A. Martin
G
31
I. Aliseda
⚽ 90' ↑ 65'
M
24
E. Paez
F
38
A. Cristaldo
8
C. Paredes
M
15
B. Riveros
↑ 65'
D
20
W. Viera
M
16
F. Peralta
🎯 90' ↑ 46'
M
17
D. Espinola
M
28
C. Franco
↑ 65' 🟨 74'
F
39
L. J. Servin
D
37
V. Sanchez
↑ 83'
D
Rubio NU 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
F. Fragueda
G
13
V. Cabanas
D
3
J. Vallejos
↓ 46' 🟨 45'
D
4
J. Gonzalez
D
5
P. Alvarez Benitez
🟨 42'
D
20
F. Martinez
↓ 67'
M
15
A. Cardozo Lucena
M
35
L. Montiel
↓ 46'
M
8
R. Rojas
🟨 34'
M
10
W. Mendieta
↓ 67'
M
40
E. Perez
↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
1
T. Canteros
G
21
E. Sarquis
↑ 78'
M
38
G. Manzur
M
30
P. Ayala
M
37
M. Roldan
↑ 46'
F
24
L. Gomez
↑ 46'
D
29
O. Alfonso
F
18
C. Villagra
F
27
S. Gomez
M
23
S. Ruiz Diaz
↑ 67'
28
A. Leguizamon
↑ 67'
F
26
B. Pereira
F
Last matches: Cerro Porteno
28.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
0
W
15.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
3
L
11.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
0
0
D
08.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
03.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
1
D
24.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
14.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
11.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
04.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
31.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
28.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
21.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
18.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
0
2
L
14.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
07.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
2
0
W
01.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
0
W
25.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
Last matches: Rubio NU
15.05.26
Div
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
09.05.26
Div
Rubio NU
2 de Mayo
0
2
L
02.05.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
26.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
0
W
21.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Libertad Asuncion
3
0
W
12.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Olimpia
0
2
L
06.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Trinidense
0
4
L
01.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Guarani
0
2
L
26.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
0
1
L
23.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Ameliano
1
2
L
18.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
2
0
W
15.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
L
08.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
2 de Mayo
0
1
L
02.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
26.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
20.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
14.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Olimpia
0
0
D
07.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Trinidense
0
1
L
01.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Guarani
0
4
L
29.01.26
Div
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
H2H: Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU
24.05.26
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
2
0
W
18.03.26
H2H
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
2
0
L
03.08.22
H2H
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
1
0
L
18.11.17
H2H
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
0
3
W
09.09.17
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
1
0
W
15.04.17
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
4
0
W
05.02.17
H2H
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
0
3
W
19.11.16
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
1
0
W
13.08.16
H2H
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
0
4
W
11.05.16
H2H
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
1
0
L
12.02.16
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
1
2
L
Last matches: Cerro Porteno
28.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
11.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
0
0
D
30.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
1
D
24.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
14.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
04.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
28.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
14.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
01.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
0
W
21.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia
0
1
L
15.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0
2
L
02.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
2
0
W
24.01.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
1
1
D
H2H at home: Cerro Porteno
24.05.26
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
2
0
W
09.09.17
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
1
0
W
15.04.17
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
4
0
W
19.11.16
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
1
0
W
12.02.16
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
1
2
L
Last matches: Rubio NU
09.05.26
Div
Rubio NU
2 de Mayo
0
2
L
26.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
0
W
06.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Trinidense
0
4
L
26.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
0
1
L
15.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
L
02.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
20.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
14.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Olimpia
0
0
D
01.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Guarani
0
4
L
25.01.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Ameliano
2
2
D
H2H away: Rubio NU
24.05.26
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
2
0
L
09.09.17
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
1
0
L
15.04.17
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
4
0
L
19.11.16
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
1
0
L
12.02.16
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
1
2
W

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)