PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Referee: D. Lopez
Cerro Porteno
Match Timeline
Club Guarani
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
J. Iturbe ↔ M. Klimowicz
Cerro Porteno
🟨
57'
Luis Martinez
Club Guarani
🔄
60'
J. Morel ↔ F. Noguera
Cerro Porteno
🟨
66'
Gustavo Velázquez
Cerro Porteno
🔄
66'
J. Llano ↔ M. Lopez
Club Guarani
🔄
74'
J. Torres ↔ A. Cristaldo
Cerro Porteno
🟨
76'
Patricio Coronel
Club Guarani
🔄
76'
P. Coronel ↔ I. Ramirez
Club Guarani
🔄
85'
P. Tanda ↔ A. Manzur
Club Guarani
🔄
85'
R. Torales ↔ G. Gomez
Club Guarani

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 34.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 49.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
34.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
49.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cerro Porteno Win 75.6%
Draw 0%
Club Guarani Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro Porteno1.26
Club Guarani1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
WWDLW
30 GF / 18 GA
Club Guarani Club Guarani
WLDWL
26 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.24
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
8
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
9
4.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 22 matches
Club Guarani Club Guarani 21 matches
Cerro Porteno Statistic Club Guarani
12 Wins 6
5 Draws 8
5 Losses 7
30 Goals For 26
18 Goals Against 23
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
8 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 8
4.5 Shots On Goal 4
13.05 Total Shots 10.95
4.82 Corners 3.95
53% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerro Porteno expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Club Guarani in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Guarani having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Club Guarani.

Cerro Porteno Analysis

Placed 3 with 34 points from 19 outings, Cerro Porteno continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 27:19 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Cecilio Domínguez (5 goals), I. Aliseda (4 goals), J. Iturbe (3 goals), with creative support from Cecilio Domínguez (2 assists), I. Aliseda (2 assists), J. Morel (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Club Guarani Analysis

So far, Club Guarani have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 25 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 25:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Rodriguez (3 goals), G. Servio (3 goals), Matías López (3 goals), with creative support from D. Rodriguez (2 assists), N. Romero (2 assists), I. Ramirez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Porteno won 8 times, Club Guarani won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:11 from Cerro Porteno's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cerro Porteno 4-3-3 / Club Guarani 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Cerro Porteno wins 8, draws 3, Club Guarani wins 4
Stats
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani Club Guarani
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 3
17 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 1
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 3
3 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
543 Total passes 330
460 Passes accurate 244
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cerro Porteno
Formation
Club Guarani
R. Fernandez
R. Fernandez
F. Dominguez
F. Dominguez
G. Velazquez
G. Velazquez
M. Perez
M. Perez
M. Chaparro
M. Chaparro
J. Morel
J. Morel
R. Piris
R. Piris
C. Bobadilla
C. Bobadilla
J. Iturbe
J. Iturbe
P. Vegetti
P. Vegetti
J. Torres
J. Torres
G. Servio
G. Servio
M. Ramos
M. Ramos
I. Segovia
I. Segovia
S. Zaracho
S. Zaracho
T. Servin
T. Servin
L. Martinez
L. Martinez
D. Fernandez
D. Fernandez
J. Llano
J. Llano
P. Tanda
P. Tanda
P. Coronel
P. Coronel
R. Torales
R. Torales
Cerro Porteno 4-3-3
Starting XI
25
R. Fernandez
2
F. Dominguez
D
23
G. Velazquez
🟨 66'
D
22
M. Perez
D
35
M. Chaparro
D
5
J. Morel
↓ 60'
M
26
R. Piris
M
32
C. Bobadilla
M
11
J. Iturbe
↓ 46'
F
19
P. Vegetti
F
27
J. Torres
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Martin
G
14
L. A. Quintana Rodriguez
D
24
E. Paez
F
38
A. Cristaldo
↑ 74'
8
C. Paredes
M
40
M. Klimowicz
↑ 46'
M
20
W. Viera
M
16
F. Peralta
M
18
R. Melgarejo
36
F. Noguera
↑ 60'
F
28
C. Franco
F
37
V. Sanchez
D
Club Guarani 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
G. Servio
G
14
M. Ramos
D
2
I. Segovia
D
4
S. Zaracho
D
15
T. Servin
D
36
L. Martinez
🟨 57'
M
26
D. Fernandez
M
29
J. Llano
↓ 66'
M
5
P. Tanda
↓ 85'
M
38
P. Coronel
↓ 76' 🟨 76'
M
17
R. Torales
↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
31
M. Arzamendia
G
11
Jhon Sanchez
F
8
M. Lopez
↑ 66'
M
19
C. G. Ramirez Perdesen
D
20
R. Quinonez
F
27
M. Gomez
M
7
A. Manzur
↑ 85'
M
9
I. Ramirez
↑ 76'
F
25
G. Gomez
↑ 85'
M
33
K. Ferreira Gonzalez
35
J. Centurion
F
16
L. Paredes
D
Last matches: Cerro Porteno
28.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
24.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
2
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
0
W
15.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
3
L
08.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
03.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
1
D
24.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
14.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
11.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
04.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
31.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
28.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
21.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
18.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
0
2
L
14.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
07.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
2
0
W
01.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
0
W
25.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
Last matches: Club Guarani
23.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
L
16.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
03.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
L
26.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
2 de Mayo
2
2
D
18.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
10.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
1
L
05.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
01.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Rubio NU
2
0
W
29.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Trinidense
0
0
D
25.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Olimpia
0
2
L
18.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
0
0
D
07.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
01.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
26.02.26
CON
Club Guarani
Juventud
1
2
L
23.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
3
L
19.02.26
CON
Club Guarani
Juventud
0
0
D
13.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
1
W
08.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
3
3
D
H2H: Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani
11.05.26
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
0
0
D
07.03.26
H2H
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
0
2
W
02.11.25
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
1
0
W
16.08.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
3
4
W
10.05.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
0
2
W
02.03.25
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
0
1
L
16.11.24
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
1
2
L
31.08.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
1
0
L
23.05.24
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
2
0
W
29.02.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
01.12.23
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
4
0
W
17.09.23
H2H
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
1
0
L
25.04.23
H2H
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
0
3
W
11.02.23
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
1
1
D
23.10.22
H2H
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
1
2
W
Last matches: Cerro Porteno
28.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
24.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
2
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
1
D
24.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
14.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
04.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
28.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
14.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
01.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
0
W
21.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia
0
1
L
15.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0
2
L
02.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
2
0
W
24.01.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
1
1
D
H2H at home: Cerro Porteno
11.05.26
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
0
0
D
02.11.25
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
1
0
W
02.03.25
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
0
1
L
16.11.24
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
1
2
L
23.05.24
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
2
0
W
01.12.23
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
4
0
W
11.02.23
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
1
1
D
Last matches: Club Guarani
23.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
L
26.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
2 de Mayo
2
2
D
10.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
1
L
01.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Rubio NU
2
0
W
15.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
0
0
D
01.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
23.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
3
L
19.02.26
CON
Club Guarani
Juventud
0
0
D
08.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
3
3
D
29.01.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Trinidense
0
0
D
25.01.26
Div
Club Guarani
Olimpia
1
2
L
H2H away: Club Guarani
11.05.26
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
0
0
D
02.11.25
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
1
0
L
02.03.25
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
0
1
W
16.11.24
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
1
2
W
23.05.24
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
2
0
L
01.12.23
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
4
0
L
11.02.23
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
1
1
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L