Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
44.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
55%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Cerro Largo
Juventud
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro Largo
22 matches
Juventud
28 matches
| Cerro Largo | Statistic | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 10 | Losses | 13 |
| 23 | Goals For | 33 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 3.71 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 11.57 |
| 0 | Corners | 3.71 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 43.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerro Largo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Juventud in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventud having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Juventud. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Cerro Largo are currently 10 in the standings with 28 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 23:24 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Juventud have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 23 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, while the 25:33 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Largo won 6 times, Juventud won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:11 from Cerro Largo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Lineups
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Albion FC
Juventud
Atletico Torque
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Penarol
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Boston River
Juventud
Cerro
Juventud
Albion FC
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Rentistas
Cerro Largo
Tacuarembo
Cerro Largo
Juventud
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Albion FC
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Penarol
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Cerro
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Club Guarani
Juventud
Atletico Torque
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Boston River
Juventud
Penarol
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Wanderers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 31 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 28 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 22 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 |
Cerro Largo
Home
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Juventud
Away
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|