Cerro Largo vs Club Nacional H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsCerro Largo vs Club Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
66.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
- |
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro Largo
29 matches
Club Nacional
35 matches
| Cerro Largo | Statistic | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 16 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 12 | Losses | 13 |
| 28 | Goals For | 50 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 3.43 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 8.43 |
| 0 | Corners | 4.29 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 33.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Club Nacional's more proactive style and Cerro Largo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Club Nacional. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerro Largo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Club Nacional in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Nacional having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 29 matches, Cerro Largo have collected 33 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, while the 28:32 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 5 place with 46 points from 29 games, Club Nacional bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 14 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a 43:38 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Largo won 0 times, Club Nacional won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:11 from Cerro Largo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 63 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 59 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53:37 | 16 | 57 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 |
Club Nacional
Away
|
32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 55 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 5 | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 53 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 43:31 | 12 | 50 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 50 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42:42 | 0 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | -2 | 40 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 26:47 | -21 | 36 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 30:39 | -9 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Cerro Largo
Home
|
32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | -8 | 33 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 15 | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 29 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
D
L
W
W
L
|