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10.10.2026 19:00

Cerrito vs Tacuarembo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.88
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.13
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.4%
1.18 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.88 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.13 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cerrito Win 44%
Draw 21.5%
Tacuarembo Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerrito1.26
Tacuarembo0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerrito Cerrito
WWDLW
35 GF / 32 GA
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo
WLDWL
21 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
0.78
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
16
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerrito Cerrito 27 matches
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo 27 matches
Cerrito Statistic Tacuarembo
9 Wins 6
11 Draws 9
7 Losses 12
35 Goals For 21
32 Goals Against 32
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
16 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 5
6 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tacuarembo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cerrito arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 9 points compared to Tacuarembo in 14 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Tacuarembo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tacuarembo having the stronger overall control.

Cerrito Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Cerrito have collected 9 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 8:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tacuarembo Analysis

With 3 points from 6 games and a place of 14, Tacuarembo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Cerrito won 1 times, Tacuarembo won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Cerrito's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.5%)
H2H summary: Cerrito wins 1, draws 3, Tacuarembo wins 1

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D