Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
53.7%
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| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
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- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.3%
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- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
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- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
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- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
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Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerezo Osaka
17 matches
Nagoya Grampus
16 matches
| Cerezo Osaka | Statistic | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 6 | Losses | 3 |
| 18 | Goals For | 28 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.94 | Shots On Goal | 4.75 |
| 10.88 | Total Shots | 13.69 |
| 5 | Corners | 5.38 |
| 51.1% | Ball Possession | 51.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Nagoya Grampus. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerezo Osaka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nagoya Grampus in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nagoya Grampus having the stronger overall control. Nagoya Grampus look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Operating from 4 place with 25 points from 16 games, Cerezo Osaka bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:18, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Thiago Andrade (5 goals), S. Sakuragawa (4 goals), Shunta Tanaka (3 goals), with creative support from M. Shibayama (4 assists), R. Sakata (2 assists), Motohiko Nakajima (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Operating from 1 place with 31 points from 16 games, Nagoya Grampus bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 30:21, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Y. Yamagishi (9 goals), Y. Kimura (7 goals), Hidemasa Koda (2 goals), with creative support from K. Nakayama (7 assists), Teruki Hara (3 assists), Y. Kimura (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 6 times, Nagoya Grampus won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from Cerezo Osaka's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
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| 2 |
Cerezo Osaka
Home
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18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
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| 3 |
Nagoya Grampus
Away
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18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
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| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
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| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
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| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
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| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
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| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
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| 9 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
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| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
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