Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
84.3%
|
- |
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerezo Osaka
11 matches
Kyoto Sanga
12 matches
| Cerezo Osaka | Statistic | Kyoto Sanga |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 5 | Losses | 4 |
| 9 | Goals For | 22 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.83 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.9 | Shots On Goal | 4.7 |
| 10.9 | Total Shots | 13.6 |
| 4.7 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 52.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Kyoto Sanga's more proactive style and Cerezo Osaka's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kyoto Sanga. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerezo Osaka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Kyoto Sanga in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kyoto Sanga having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
So far, Cerezo Osaka have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 14 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 10:11 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Sakuragawa (4 goals), Thiago Andrade (3 goals), R. Inoue (1 goals), with creative support from R. Sakata (2 assists), M. Shibayama (2 assists), Shunta Tanaka (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 17 points from 10 games, Kyoto Sanga bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a 17:12 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Marco Tulio (4 goals), Rafael Elias (3 goals), Henrique Trevisan (2 goals), with creative support from F. Honda (3 assists), Marco Tulio (1 assists), Rafael Elias (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 6 times, Kyoto Sanga won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:22 from Cerezo Osaka's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Cerezo Osaka
4
4
3
6
2
3
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
TIAMO Hirakata
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Vissel Kobe
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
Vissel Kobe
Kyoto Sanga
Urawa
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
TIAMO Hirakata
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
Vissel Kobe
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
Urawa
Kyoto Sanga
Okinawa SV
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
?
|
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| 2 |
Cerezo Osaka
Home
|
18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
?
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 8 |
Kyoto Sanga
Away
|
18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
?
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