Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerezo Osaka
19 matches
FC Tokyo
19 matches
| Cerezo Osaka | Statistic | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 3 |
| 27 | Goals For | 32 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 5.44 |
| 11.28 | Total Shots | 15.67 |
| 4.83 | Corners | 5.17 |
| 50.6% | Ball Possession | 52.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerezo Osaka expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Tokyo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Tokyo having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Tokyo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cerezo Osaka come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Cerezo Osaka approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 31 points after 18 outings. With 11 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 30:21, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by S. Sakuragawa (6 goals), Thiago Andrade (6 goals), Shunta Tanaka (4 goals), with creative support from M. Shibayama (5 assists), Motohiko Nakajima (4 assists), Nelson Ishiwatari (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
FC Tokyo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 37 points after 18 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a 32:18 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Kein Sato (5 goals), Marcelo Ryan (5 goals), Ryunosuke Sato (5 goals), with creative support from Kein Sato (4 assists), Marcelo Ryan (4 assists), K. Hashimoto (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 2 times, FC Tokyo won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:27 from Cerezo Osaka's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Cerezo Osaka
5
4
7
6
3
2
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
TIAMO Hirakata
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
FC Tokyo
Kashima
FC Tokyo
Urawa
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
FC Tokyo
Urawa
FC Tokyo
Kashima
FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Cerezo Osaka
TIAMO Hirakata
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
FC Tokyo
Kashima
FC Tokyo
Urawa
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 20 | 45 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
FC Tokyo
Away
|
18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 37 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 2 |
Cerezo Osaka
Home
|
18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 3 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | -3 | 20 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | -2 | 20 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 12 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
L
L
W
L
W
|