ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
Central Norte
Match Timeline
San Telmo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
16'
M. I. Ledesma ↔ M. Salerno
San Telmo
🔄
46'
J. Mateo ↔ F. Vedoya
Central Norte
🔄
46'
J. Zurbriggen ↔ F. Tisera
San Telmo
🔄
52'
M. Moravec ↔ G. Alvez
Central Norte
🔄
73'
T. Taobas ↔ J. Lopez
Central Norte
🔄
74'
R. Uriburu ↔ M. Laba
San Telmo
🔄
74'
M. Batallini ↔ I. Larthirigoyen
San Telmo
🔄
87'
J. Iritier ↔ M. Gonzalez
San Telmo
🔄
90+3'
A. Lamosa ↔ M. Rosales
Central Norte

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72.1%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Central Norte Win 39.7%
Draw 32.4%
San Telmo Win 27.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Central Norte0.79
San Telmo0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Central Norte Central Norte
WWDLW
11 GF / 17 GA
San Telmo San Telmo
WLDWL
12 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.65
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Central Norte Central Norte 17 matches
San Telmo San Telmo 16 matches
Central Norte Statistic San Telmo
3 Wins 3
6 Draws 7
8 Losses 6
11 Goals For 12
17 Goals Against 16
0.65 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward San Telmo. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Telmo having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Central Norte Analysis

Central Norte approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 14 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats with a 10:16 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Telmo Analysis

San Telmo sit 15 with 15 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats with a 12:16 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Central Norte won 0 times, San Telmo won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Central Norte's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (72.1%)
H2H summary: Central Norte wins 0, draws 1, San Telmo wins 2

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 5 6 34:25 9 53
D W W W L
2 27 14 7 6 43:25 18 49
W D D W W
3 27 12 9 6 34:21 13 45
L W W W D
4 27 12 8 7 23:16 7 44
W W L W W
5 27 11 10 6 38:25 13 43
L W W D W
6 27 12 7 8 32:24 8 43
W L W L W
7 27 9 11 7 23:23 0 38
W D L L L
8 27 9 9 9 25:24 1 36
D L W L D
9 27 9 8 10 25:29 -4 35
W D D W L
10 26 8 10 8 20:15 5 34
D L L L L
11 27 6 12 9 27:35 -8 30
D L D W W
12 27 7 8 12 25:29 -4 29
D W W L L
13 27 6 11 10 19:27 -8 29
D D W D D
14 27 6 11 10 21:30 -9 29
L L L W L
15 27 5 13 9 15:24 -9 28
D L W D L
16 27 6 9 12 22:33 -11 27
L W D L L
17 26 5 11 10 16:24 -8 26
L L D L D
18 27 5 8 14 19:32 -13 23
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation