Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Central Espanol
15 matches
Defensor Sporting
15 matches
| Central Espanol | Statistic | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 6 |
| 5 | Losses | 4 |
| 23 | Goals For | 13 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.87 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.73 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Defensor Sporting. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Defensor Sporting having the stronger overall control.
Central Espanol come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 24 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 23:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Tarragona (6 goals), I. Rodriguez (3 goals), D. Vera (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Defensor Sporting are currently 8 in the standings with 21 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 13:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Montenegro (6 goals), A. Machado (2 goals), F. Castro (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Central Espanol won 2 times, Defensor Sporting won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:10 from Central Espanol's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.
Lineups
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Penarol
Central Espanol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Boston River
Central Espanol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Albion FC
Central Espanol
Danubio
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Juventud
Central Espanol
Penarol
Central Espanol
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Danubio
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Miramar
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Racing Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Central Espanol
Home
|
19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Defensor Sporting
Away
|
19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 18 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|