31.07.2026 00:15
Estadio Unico Madre De Ciudades
Referee: Andres Merlos, Argentina
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Match Timeline
Atletico Tucuman
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
52'
Franco Nicola
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
62'
H. Tijanovich ↔ T. Cravero
Central Cordoba de Santiago
63'
L. Diaz · Assist: R. Ruiz
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
76'
S. Moyano ↔ J. Gomez
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
77'
L. Varaldo ↔ E. Naya
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
81'
R. Tesuri ↔ G. Compagnucci
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
81'
N. Franco ↔ K. Ortiz
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
87'
M. Iacobellis ↔ F. Rodriguez
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🟨
89'
Fernando Martínez
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
90+4'
L. Diaz ↔ R. Granillo
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
90+4'
L. Godoy ↔ J. Fernandez
Atletico Tucuman
🔄
90+4'
R. Ruiz ↔ M. Brondo
Atletico Tucuman
90'
L. Diaz · Assist: L. Ingolotti
Atletico Tucuman

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.7%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Central Cordoba de Santiago Win 51.7%
Draw 11.4%
Atletico Tucuman Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Central Cordoba de Santiago0.88
Atletico Tucuman1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago
WWDLW
13 GF / 24 GA
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
WLDWL
20 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.72
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
5
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
10
2.35
Shots on Goal
3.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 18 matches
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 19 matches
Central Cordoba de Santiago Statistic Atletico Tucuman
4 Wins 5
5 Draws 6
9 Losses 8
13 Goals For 20
24 Goals Against 21
0.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
5 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 13
5 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 5
2.35 Shots On Goal 3.35
7.76 Total Shots 11.76
2.82 Corners 4.71
37.9% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Central Cordoba de Santiago have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Atletico Tucuman. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Central Cordoba de Santiago expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Atletico Tucuman in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Tucuman having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Central Cordoba de Santiago Analysis

Central Cordoba de Santiago sit 13 with 16 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 11:21, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Diego Barrera (2 goals), Michael Santos (1 goals), Alejandro Maciel (1 goals), with creative support from Michael Santos (2 assists), Alejandro Maciel (1 assists), Matías Vera (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Tucuman Analysis

Atletico Tucuman sit 13 with 14 points after 16 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 15:20 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Franco Nicola (1 goals), Renzo Tesuri (1 goals), with creative support from Maximiliano Villa (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Central Cordoba de Santiago won 5 times, Atletico Tucuman won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Central Cordoba de Santiago's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Central Cordoba de Santiago 4-4-2 / Atletico Tucuman 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Central Cordoba de Santiago wins 5, draws 4, Atletico Tucuman wins 4

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L D L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W W D W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W D W D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L W L D D
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W D W L D
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W W L D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
L D W L D
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L W W W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W W L W D
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
D W L W W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
D L D W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L L D L W
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
D L L D L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
W D D D W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D L D D D
Knockout Phase