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21.11.2026 15:00
Celtic Park

Celtic vs ST Mirren Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Celtic Win 77.1%
Draw 15.1%
ST Mirren Win 7.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Celtic1.81
ST Mirren1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Celtic Celtic
W W L D W
8 GF / 7 GA
ST Mirren ST Mirren
L L D W L
4 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.87
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
15
BTTS Yes
6
15
Over 2.5
7
7.37
Shots on Goal
3.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Celtic Celtic 23 matches
ST Mirren ST Mirren 14 matches
Celtic Statistic ST Mirren
12 Wins 5
4 Draws 2
7 Losses 7
43 Goals For 16
34 Goals Against 24
1.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
15 BTTS Yes 6
19 Over 1.5 10
15 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 5
7.37 Shots On Goal 3.69
18.11 Total Shots 12.08
8.37 Corners 4.23
58.1% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Celtic's more proactive style and ST Mirren's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward ST Mirren. Celtic arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 31 points compared to ST Mirren in 8 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Celtic expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and ST Mirren in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward ST Mirren having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. ST Mirren arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Celtic Analysis

Celtic come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 31 points after 13 matches. They have recorded 10 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 28:10 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on C. Durán (7 goals), B. Nygren (6 goals), K. Høgh (3 goals), with creative support from C. Durán (6 assists), B. Nygren (3 assists), K. Høgh (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

ST Mirren Analysis

With 14 points from 13 games and a place of 8, ST Mirren still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 12:22 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Phillips (3 goals), Eseosa Sule (2 goals), Samuel Ramos (1 goals), with creative support from K. Phillips (2 assists), Samuel Ramos (2 assists), Eseosa Sule (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Celtic won 12 times, ST Mirren won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:13 from Celtic's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.1%)
Predicted formations: Celtic 4-2-3-1 / ST Mirren 3-4-3
H2H summary: Celtic wins 12, draws 2, ST Mirren wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 10 1 2 28:10 18 31
W L D W W
2 12 8 3 1 21:9 12 27
W D W D W
3 13 6 3 4 20:14 6 21
W W W W W
4 12 6 2 4 26:22 4 20
L D W L W
5 12 5 2 5 18:15 3 17
L W L D W
6 12 4 5 3 17:17 0 17
D D W D W
7 13 4 5 4 17:20 -3 17
W D D L D
8 13 4 2 7 12:22 -10 14
L L D W L
9 13 3 4 6 15:21 -6 13
D W D L L
10 12 3 2 7 15:17 -2 11
W D L L L
11 12 3 2 7 12:18 -6 11
L L L W L
12 13 2 3 8 13:29 -16 9
L D L L W
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)