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SCOTLAND › PREMIERSHIP
20.09.2026 11:00
Celtic Park
Referee: John Beaton, Scotland
Celtic
Match Timeline
Rangers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Emmanuel Fernandez
Rangers
🟨
5'
Derek McInnes
Rangers
⚽
33'
R. Naderi
Rangers
🔄
46'
L. McCowan ↔ K. Hogh
Celtic
🟨
57'
Min-su Kim
Rangers
🔄
63'
B. Nygren ↔ J. Forrest
Celtic
🔄
71'
C. Duran ↔ S. Tounekti
Celtic
🔄
71'
K. Tierney ↔ H. Hassan
Celtic
🔄
71'
M. Kim ↔ F. Curtis
Rangers
🔄
72'
D. Gassama ↔ B. Bouanani
Rangers
🟨
73'
Callum McGregor
Celtic
🟨
74'
Sebastian Tounekti
Celtic
VAR
75'
Olwethu Makhanya
Rangers
🔄
76'
J. Penrice ↔ B. Godfrey
Rangers
🟨
88'
Badredine Bouanani
Rangers
🔄
88'
D. Neil ↔ T. Chukwuani
Rangers
🔄
89'
L. Scales ↔ S. Mheuka
Celtic
🔄
89'
K. Kelsy ↔ C. Devlin
Rangers

Celtic vs Rangers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Celtic Win 64.8%
Draw 4.2%
Rangers Win 31%
Expected Goals (xG)
Celtic1.41
Rangers1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Celtic Celtic
WWDLW
24 GF / 19 GA
Rangers Rangers
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
9
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
4
7.89
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Celtic Celtic 13 matches
Rangers Rangers 12 matches
Celtic Statistic Rangers
7 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 3
24 Goals For 12
19 Goals Against 9
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
9 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 6
9 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 5
0 Failed To Score 2
7.89 Shots On Goal 4.6
19.56 Total Shots 14.6
9.11 Corners 6
60.7% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Celtic arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 18 points compared to Rangers in 2 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rangers. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Celtic Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 18 points from 6 games, Celtic bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a 14:3 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on B. Nygren (3 goals), C. Durán (3 goals), K. Høgh (3 goals), with creative support from B. Nygren (3 assists), C. Durán (3 assists), K. Tierney (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Rangers Analysis

Rangers approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 13 points after 6 outings. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 7:4, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by L. Shankland (3 goals), R. Naderi (1 goals), Thelo Aasgaard (1 goals), with creative support from R. Naderi (1 assists), D. Gassama (1 assists), R. McCrorie (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Celtic won 6 times, Rangers won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:22 from Celtic's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Celtic 4-2-3-1 / Rangers 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Celtic wins 6, draws 6, Rangers wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 16:4 12 21
W L W W W
2 8 6 1 1 11:5 6 19
W W W W W
3 8 5 1 2 19:8 11 16
W D L W W
4 8 4 1 3 11:8 3 13
W W L D L
5 8 3 2 3 10:10 0 11
W D L W D
6 8 3 2 3 10:11 -1 11
W W D L W
7 8 3 1 4 8:14 -6 10
L L L L W
8 8 2 2 4 7:9 -2 8
L D W D L
9 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L L L L W
10 8 2 1 5 8:12 -4 7
L D L L L
11 8 1 3 4 7:11 -4 6
L D W D L
12 8 1 2 5 7:18 -11 5
L D W D L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)