SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Celtic Park
Referee: N. Walsh
Celtic
Match Timeline
Rangers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
M. Moore
Rangers
🟨
19'
Youssef Chermiti
Rangers
23'
Yang Hyun-Jun · Assist: A. Engels
Celtic
🟨
39'
Alistair Johnston
Celtic
🔄
46'
L. McCowan ↔ S. Tounekti
Celtic
53'
D. Maeda · Assist: K. Tierney
Celtic
57'
D. Maeda
Celtic
🔄
59'
J. Tavernier ↔ D. Sterling
Rangers
🔄
59'
M. Diomande ↔ T. Aasgaard
Rangers
🔄
59'
O. Antman ↔ D. Gassama
Rangers
🟨
67'
Auston Trusty
Celtic
🔄
76'
B. Nygren ↔ R. Hatate
Celtic
🔄
76'
T. Chukwuani ↔ B. Miovski
Rangers
🟨
78'
Kieran Tierney
Celtic
🟨
78'
Tuur Rommens
Rangers
🟨
79'
Liam Scales
Celtic
🔄
81'
Yang Hyun-Jun ↔ K. Iheanacho
Celtic
🔄
81'
A. Johnston ↔ A. Ralston
Celtic
🟨
82'
Daizen Maeda
Celtic
🔄
84'
K. Tierney ↔ M. Saracchi
Celtic
🟨
89'
Reo Hatate
Celtic

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Celtic Win 45.5%
Draw 11.6%
Rangers Win 42.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Celtic1.52
Rangers1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Celtic Celtic
WWDLW
79 GF / 56 GA
Rangers Rangers
WLDWL
82 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
26
BTTS Yes
29
30
Over 2.5
28
5.23
Shots on Goal
5.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Celtic Celtic 47 matches
Rangers Rangers 49 matches
Celtic Statistic Rangers
27 Wins 22
8 Draws 14
12 Losses 13
79 Goals For 82
56 Goals Against 62
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
26 BTTS Yes 29
37 Over 1.5 40
30 Over 2.5 28
18 Over 3.5 15
16 Clean Sheets 15
9 Failed To Score 8
5.23 Shots On Goal 5.31
14.91 Total Shots 14.67
6.66 Corners 6.04
62.8% Ball Possession 55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rangers. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Celtic come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Celtic Analysis

Celtic come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 73 points after 35 matches. With 23 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 64:37, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Nygren (15 goals), D. Maeda (10 goals), Yang Hyun-Jun (7 goals), with creative support from K. Tierney (7 assists), D. Maeda (6 assists), B. Nygren (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 13 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Rangers Analysis

Rangers come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 69 points after 35 matches. They have recorded 19 wins, 12 draws, and 4 losses, with a 69:36 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Chermiti (12 goals), J. Tavernier (8 goals), B. Miovski (7 goals), with creative support from Nicolas Raskin (7 assists), Djeidi Gassama (5 assists), Chermiti (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Celtic won 6 times, Rangers won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:22 from Celtic's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Celtic 4-2-3-1 / Rangers 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Celtic wins 6, draws 6, Rangers wins 3
Stats
Celtic Celtic
Rangers Rangers
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
1 Corner Kicks 7
25 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 9
1 Shots outsidebox 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
423 Total passes 400
344 Passes accurate 310
1.04 expected_goals 0.91
🟨 6 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Celtic
Formation
Rangers
V. Sinisalo
V. Sinisalo
A. Johnston
A. Johnston
A. Trusty
A. Trusty
L. Scales
L. Scales
K. Tierney
🎯
K. Tierney
A. Engels
🎯
A. Engels
C. McGregor
C. McGregor
L. McCowan
L. McCowan
B. Nygren
B. Nygren
Yang Hyun-Jun
Yang Hyun-Jun
D. Maeda
⚽ 2
D. Maeda
J. Butland
J. Butland
J. Tavernier
J. Tavernier
N. Djiga
N. Djiga
E. Fernandez
E. Fernandez
T. Rommens
T. Rommens
C. Barron
C. Barron
T. Chukwuani
T. Chukwuani
O. Antman
O. Antman
M. Diomande
M. Diomande
M. Moore
M. Moore
Chermiti
Chermiti
Celtic 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
V. Sinisalo
G
2
A. Johnston
↓ 81' 🟨 39'
D
6
A. Trusty
🟨 67'
D
5
L. Scales
🟨 79'
D
63
K. Tierney
🎯 53' ↓ 84' 🟨 78'
D
27
A. Engels
🎯 23'
M
42
C. McGregor
M
14
L. McCowan
↓ 46'
M
8
B. Nygren
↓ 76'
M
13
Yang Hyun-Jun
⚽ 23' ↓ 81'
M
38
D. Maeda
⚽ 53' ⚽ 57' 🟨 82'
F
Substitutes
31
R. Doohan
G
49
J. Forrest
M
17
K. Iheanacho
↑ 81'
F
56
A. Ralston
↑ 81'
D
23
S. Tounekti
↑ 46'
F
21
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
M
36
M. Saracchi
↑ 84'
D
41
R. Hatate
↑ 76' 🟨 89'
M
47
D. Murray
D
Rangers 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Butland
G
2
J. Tavernier
↓ 59'
D
24
N. Djiga
D
37
E. Fernandez
D
25
T. Rommens
🟨 78'
D
8
C. Barron
M
42
T. Chukwuani
↓ 76'
M
18
O. Antman
↓ 59'
M
10
M. Diomande
↓ 59'
M
47
M. Moore
⚽ 9'
M
9
Chermiti
🟨 19'
F
Substitutes
31
L. Kelly
G
21
D. Sterling
↑ 59'
D
14
N. Bajrami
M
11
T. Aasgaard
↑ 59'
M
23
D. Gassama
↑ 59'
F
30
J. Meghoma
D
28
B. Miovski
↑ 76'
F
3
M. Aarons
D
7
A. Skov Olsen
F
Last matches: Celtic
16.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
1
W
13.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Celtic
ST Mirren
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Aberdeen
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
2
2
D
26.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
4
L
15.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Kilmarnock
3
2
W
11.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Livingston
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
2
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Celtic
Utrecht
4
2
W
25.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
2
2
D
22.01.26
UEF
Celtic
Bologna
2
2
D
14.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
1
0
W
Last matches: Rangers
16.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
5
2
W
13.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Motherwell
2
3
L
12.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
6
3
W
04.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Dundee Utd
4
2
W
21.03.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
4
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Rangers
ST Mirren
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
2
2
D
22.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Livingston
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
4
2
W
11.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Motherwell
1
1
D
04.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Kilmarnock
5
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
0
0
D
29.01.26
UEF
Rangers
FC Porto
1
3
L
25.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Dundee
3
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
Rangers
Ludogorets
1
0
W
11.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
2
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
2
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
3
1
W
H2H: Celtic vs Rangers
10.05.26
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
3
1
W
08.03.26
H2H
Rangers
Celtic
0
0
D
01.03.26
H2H
Rangers
Celtic
2
2
D
03.01.26
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
1
3
L
02.11.25
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
3
1
W
31.08.25
H2H
Rangers
Celtic
0
0
D
04.05.25
H2H
Rangers
Celtic
1
1
D
16.03.25
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
2
3
L
02.01.25
H2H
Rangers
Celtic
3
0
L
15.12.24
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
3
3
D
01.09.24
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
3
0
W
25.05.24
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
1
0
W
11.05.24
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
2
1
W
07.04.24
H2H
Rangers
Celtic
3
3
D
30.12.23
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
2
1
W
Last matches: Celtic
16.05.26
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Celtic
ST Mirren
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Hibernian
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
1
4
L
11.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Livingston
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
2
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Celtic
Utrecht
4
2
W
10.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Dundee Utd
4
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Celtic
Rangers
1
3
L
21.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Aberdeen
3
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Celtic
AS Roma
0
3
L
07.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
03.12.25
Pre
Celtic
Dundee
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Celtic
Kilmarnock
4
0
W
29.10.25
Pre
Celtic
Falkirk
4
0
W
23.10.25
UEF
Celtic
Sturm Graz
2
1
W
05.10.25
Pre
Celtic
Motherwell
3
2
W
02.10.25
UEF
Celtic
SC Braga
0
2
L
H2H at home: Celtic
10.05.26
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
3
1
W
03.01.26
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
1
3
L
02.11.25
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
3
1
W
16.03.25
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
2
3
L
15.12.24
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
3
3
D
01.09.24
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
3
0
W
25.05.24
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
1
0
W
11.05.24
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
2
1
W
30.12.23
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
2
1
W
Last matches: Rangers
16.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
5
2
W
04.05.26
Pre
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
6
3
W
15.03.26
Pre
Rangers
ST Mirren
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Livingston
2
2
D
11.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Motherwell
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
0
0
D
29.01.26
UEF
Rangers
FC Porto
1
3
L
11.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Aberdeen
2
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Rangers
Celtic
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pre
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
Rangers
Ferencvarosi TC
1
2
L
06.12.25
Pre
Rangers
Kilmarnock
3
0
W
03.12.25
Pre
Rangers
Dundee Utd
2
2
D
09.11.25
Pre
Rangers
Dundee
3
0
W
29.10.25
Pre
Rangers
Hibernian
1
0
W
23.10.25
UEF
Rangers
Brann
0
3
L
05.10.25
Pre
Rangers
Falkirk
1
1
D
02.10.25
UEF
Rangers
Sturm Graz
1
2
L
28.09.25
Pre
Rangers
Livingston
2
1
W
H2H away: Rangers
10.05.26
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
3
1
L
03.01.26
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
1
3
W
02.11.25
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
3
1
L
16.03.25
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
2
3
W
15.12.24
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
3
3
D
01.09.24
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
3
0
L
25.05.24
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
1
0
L
11.05.24
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
2
1
L
30.12.23
H2H
Celtic
Rangers
2
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 4 8 73:41 32 82
W W W W W
1 38 10 15 13 49:60 -11 45
D D L L W
2 38 24 8 6 67:34 33 80
L W D W W
2 38 11 9 18 42:61 -19 42
W L W W L
3 38 20 12 6 76:43 33 72
W L L L L
3 38 11 7 20 40:55 -15 40
L L W D W
4 38 16 13 9 59:36 23 61
W L D L W
4 38 10 10 18 50:68 -18 40
W W W W L
5 38 15 12 11 58:44 14 57
L W W L L
5 38 8 10 20 30:55 -25 34
W D D W L
6 38 14 7 17 50:62 -12 49
L L L W L
6 38 2 15 21 40:75 -35 21
L D L D W