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25.10.2026 15:15

Celta Vigo vs Real Betis Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Celta Vigo Win 26.9%
Draw 8.6%
Real Betis Win 64.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Celta Vigo1.27
Real Betis1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
WWDLW
21 GF / 16 GA
Real Betis Real Betis
WLDWL
36 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
9
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
10
3.27
Shots on Goal
6.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 16 matches
Real Betis Real Betis 19 matches
Celta Vigo Statistic Real Betis
4 Wins 13
8 Draws 2
4 Losses 4
21 Goals For 36
16 Goals Against 23
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
9 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 2
3.27 Shots On Goal 6.27
10.27 Total Shots 16.82
3.55 Corners 4.82
49.9% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Celta Vigo expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Real Betis in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Betis having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Betis. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Real Betis carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 19 points while Celta Vigo sit 11 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Celta Vigo Analysis

Celta Vigo sit 11 with 8 points after 8 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Pablo Durán (2 goals), Miguel Román (1 goals), Hugo González (1 goals), with creative support from Miguel Román (2 assists), Hugo González (2 assists), Hugo Álvarez (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Real Betis Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 19 points from 9 games, Real Betis bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 16:14 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. Ezzalzouli (3 goals), C. Hernández (2 goals), Isco (2 goals), with creative support from C. Hernández (2 assists), T. Parrott (1 assists), Héctor Bellerín (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Celta Vigo won 5 times, Real Betis won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from Celta Vigo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Celta Vigo 3-4-3 / Real Betis 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Celta Vigo wins 5, draws 5, Real Betis wins 5

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 9 0 0 39:9 30 27
W W W W W
2 9 7 1 1 19:8 11 22
W W W W W
3 9 7 0 2 23:9 14 21
W W L W W
4 9 6 1 2 16:14 2 19
L W D W W
5 9 5 1 3 17:17 0 16
W W W L W
6 9 4 2 3 14:16 -2 14
L D L W W
7 9 3 2 4 13:10 3 11
L L D L L
8 9 2 5 2 10:7 3 11
W D W D D
9 9 2 5 2 13:12 1 11
D L D L D
10 9 3 2 4 10:18 -8 11
W L D L L
11 7 2 3 2 7:6 1 9
D D D W
12 9 2 3 4 13:13 0 9
D L W W L
13 9 2 2 5 11:12 -1 8
L D L L W
14 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W
15 8 2 2 4 4:10 -6 8
L W L D D
16 9 2 2 5 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
17 8 1 4 3 12:16 -4 7
D D L L D
18 9 1 4 4 11:17 -6 7
D D W L D
19 9 1 3 5 6:15 -9 6
D D L W L
20 9 0 4 5 6:18 -12 4
L D L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2