SPAIN LA LIGA
12.05.2026 17:00
Estadio Abanca Balaídos
Referee: A. Cordero
Celta Vigo
Match Timeline
Levante
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
F. Jutgla · Assist: H. Alvarez
Celta Vigo
43'
K. Arriaga · Assist: J. Toljan
Levante
🔄
46'
K. Tunde ↔ I. Losada
Levante
48'
F. Jutgla · Assist: J. Rueda
Celta Vigo
57'
Dela · Assist: K. Arriaga
Levante
🟨
60'
Diego Pampín
Levante
🔄
61'
V. Garcia ↔ R. Brugue
Levante
🔄
62'
P. Martinez ↔ U. Raghouber
Levante
63'
R. Brugue · Assist: J. A. Olasagasti
Levante
🔄
66'
H. Alvarez ↔ W. Swedberg
Celta Vigo
🔄
66'
J. Rueda ↔ B. Iglesias
Celta Vigo
🔄
66'
I. Aspas ↔ P. Duran
Celta Vigo
🔄
76'
F. Jutgla ↔ J. El Abdellaoui
Celta Vigo
🔄
76'
H. Sotelo ↔ O. Mingueza
Celta Vigo
🔄
77'
D. Varela Pampin ↔ M. Sanchez
Levante
🔄
86'
C. Espi ↔ I. Romero
Levante
🟨
90'
Mathew Ryan
Levante

Celta Vigo vs Levante Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 57.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
57.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Celta Vigo Win 75.2%
Draw 22.3%
Levante Win 2.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Celta Vigo1.51
Levante1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
WWDLW
75 GF / 65 GA
Levante Levante
WLDWL
46 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
33
BTTS Yes
18
27
Over 2.5
16
4.04
Shots on Goal
3.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 52 matches
Levante Levante 38 matches
Celta Vigo Statistic Levante
21 Wins 11
15 Draws 9
16 Losses 18
75 Goals For 46
65 Goals Against 61
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
33 BTTS Yes 18
43 Over 1.5 31
27 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 11
14 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 13
4.04 Shots On Goal 3.74
10.48 Total Shots 12.13
3.87 Corners 4.16
49.3% Ball Possession 42.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Celta Vigo's more proactive style and Levante's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Levante. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Celta Vigo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 50 points compared to Levante in 19 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Celta Vigo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Celta Vigo expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Levante in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Levante having the stronger overall control.

Celta Vigo Analysis

Celta Vigo sit 6 with 50 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 13 wins, 11 draws, and 11 defeats with a 49:44 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Iglesias (14 goals), Ferran Jutglà (7 goals), Iago Aspas (5 goals), with creative support from Williot Swedberg (5 assists), J. Rueda (5 assists), Óscar Mingueza (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Roman, M. Vecino, C. Starfelt unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Levante Analysis

Levante sit 19 with 36 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats with a 41:57 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Espi (9 goals), I. Romero (7 goals), Adrián de la Fuente (3 goals), with creative support from Pablo Martínez (4 assists), J. Toljan (3 assists), J. A. Olasagasti (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with C. Alvarez, U. Elgezabal, U. Vencedor unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Celta Vigo won 9 times, Levante won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:23 from Celta Vigo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (97.4%)
Predicted formations: Celta Vigo 3-4-2-1 / Levante 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Celta Vigo 3, Levante 4
H2H summary: Celta Vigo wins 9, draws 2, Levante wins 4

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2