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28.08.2026 18:00
Bilino Polje
Referee: L. Bilbija
Čelik
Match Timeline
Velež
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
A. Masic
Čelik
🟨
18'
A. Imamovic
Velež
⚽
28'
A. Masic
Čelik
⚽
43'
A. Masic
Čelik
🔄
46'
R. Abdullah ↔ A. Mesic
Velež
🔄
46'
N. Stojanovic ↔ A. Bajric
Velež
🔄
59'
A. Imamovic ↔ A. Shhade
Velež
🔄
59'
A. Besagic ↔ L. Ignatov
Velež
⚽
63'
A. Masic
Čelik
🔄
64'
J. Amoah ↔ D. Vidic
Čelik
🔄
64'
A. Masic ↔ B. Jenjic
Čelik
🟨
66'
A. Nukic
Velež
🔄
77'
K. Horic ↔ A. Hodzic
Čelik
🔄
77'
A. Hrvanovic ↔ E. Sieh
Čelik
🔄
77'
A. Nukic ↔ C. Matekovic
Velež
🔄
85'
F. Gogic ↔ M. Popovic
Čelik
🟨
90+2'
M. Popovic
Čelik
🟨
90+4'
M. Popovic
Čelik
🟥
90+4'
M. Popovic
Čelik

Čelik vs Velež Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 79.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
79.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Čelik Win 52.4%
Draw 27%
Velež Win 20.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Čelik1.31
Velež1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Čelik Čelik
L L L W D
7 GF / 7 GA
Velež Velež
W L L L L
3 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
3.33
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Čelik Čelik 5 matches
Velež Velež 12 matches
Čelik Statistic Velež
1 Wins 6
1 Draws 1
3 Losses 5
7 Goals For 14
7 Goals Against 14
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 10
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 3
3.33 Shots On Goal 1
9 Total Shots 2.33
3 Corners 0.83
30.3% Ball Possession 5.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Čelik won 1 times, Velež won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Čelik's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (79.4%)
Predicted formations: Čelik 4-2-3-1 / Velež 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Čelik wins 1, draws 0, Velež wins 1

Standings

Premier Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 11 0 1 31:7 24 33
W W W W W
2 11 9 1 1 23:9 14 28
W W W W W
3 12 5 4 3 10:7 3 19
D W D D W
4 12 3 5 4 11:13 -2 14
L D W D L
5 12 3 4 5 17:20 -3 13
D W D L D
6 12 3 4 5 12:19 -7 13
L L D L D
7 12 2 5 5 18:22 -4 11
W L D W D
8 11 3 2 6 9:17 -8 11
W L D L W
9 12 2 4 6 13:19 -6 10
L D L D D
10 12 2 3 7 7:18 -11 9
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation