Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ceara
20 matches
Ponte Preta
20 matches
| Ceara | Statistic | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 2 |
| 7 | Draws | 3 |
| 8 | Losses | 15 |
| 20 | Goals For | 15 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.75 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.95 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.05 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 13.55 | Total Shots | 10.9 |
| 5.8 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 50% | Ball Possession | 43.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ponte Preta. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ceara arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 16 with 22 points compared to Ponte Preta in 20 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Ponte Preta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ceara expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and Ponte Preta in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ponte Preta having the stronger overall control.
Ceara approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 22 points from 20 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 20:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Melk (4 goals), Júlio César (2 goals), Matheus Araújo (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Giulio (3 assists), Júlio César (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 9 points from 20 games and a place of 20, Ponte Preta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 15:39 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Elvis (2 goals), Brandão (2 goals), William Pottker (2 goals), with creative support from Elvis (3 assists), Diego Tavares (3 assists), Brandão (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Ceara won 3 times, Ponte Preta won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Ceara's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Ceara
8
1
7
4
5
2
Lineups
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Cuiaba
Ceara
São Bernardo
Ceara
CRB
Ceara
America Mineiro
Ceara
Athletic Club
Ceara
Goias
Ceara
Juventude
Ceara
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Criciuma
Ceara
Avai
Ceara
Operario-PR
Ceara
Novorizontino
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
Sport Recife
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
Goias
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
CRB
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Cuiaba
Ceara
CRB
Ceara
Athletic Club
Ceara
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Avai
Ceara
Operario-PR
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ceara
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Juventude
Ponte Preta
CRB
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Ceara
Home
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Away
|
24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|