Ceara vs Novorizontino Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
57.9%
|
2.40 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
2.13 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.07 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
10.00 |
Ceara
Novorizontino
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ceara
28 matches
Novorizontino
28 matches
| Ceara | Statistic | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 14 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 6 |
| 29 | Goals For | 48 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.21 | Shots On Goal | 5.18 |
| 13.79 | Total Shots | 14.96 |
| 5.75 | Corners | 6.14 |
| 51.5% | Ball Possession | 48.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Novorizontino's more proactive style and Ceara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Novorizontino carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 49 points while Ceara sit 16 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Novorizontino look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Novorizontino.
With 31 points from 27 games and a place of 16, Ceara still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats with a 28:35 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Melk (4 goals), Lucas Lima (3 goals), Richard (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Giulio (3 assists), Juan Alano (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 49 points from 27 games, Novorizontino bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 14 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a 47:24 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Robson (9 goals), Romulo (6 goals), Matheus Bianqui (4 goals), with creative support from Romulo (7 assists), Robson (4 assists), Juninho (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Ceara won 2 times, Novorizontino won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Ceara's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Novorizontino
Away
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 48:25 | 23 | 50 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 30:17 | 13 | 50 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 48 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 48 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 46 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:31 | 8 | 38 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 |
Ceara
Home
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
| 16 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | -4 | 31 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 28 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21:48 | -27 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 16:62 | -46 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|