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BRAZIL › SERIE B
17.10.2026 19:30
Estadio Castelão
Referee: Kleber Ariel Goncalves da Silva

Ceara vs Juventude Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.7%
Odds 2.70
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.7%
2.70 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.10 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.50 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Ceara Win 38.6%
Draw 10.8%
Juventude Win 50.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ceara0.89
Juventude1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ceara Ceara
WWDLW
35 GF / 40 GA
Juventude Juventude
WLDWL
39 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
0.64
17
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
10
4.15
Shots on Goal
4.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ceara Ceara 33 matches
Juventude Juventude 33 matches
Ceara Statistic Juventude
11 Wins 17
9 Draws 9
13 Losses 7
35 Goals For 39
40 Goals Against 21
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 0.64
17 BTTS Yes 8
23 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 22
11 Failed To Score 9
4.15 Shots On Goal 4.3
13.58 Total Shots 12.94
5.55 Corners 4.18
50.8% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Juventude's more proactive style and Ceara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Juventude. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ceara expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Juventude in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventude having the stronger overall control. Juventude carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 59 points while Ceara sit 14 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ceara Analysis

With 42 points from 32 games and a place of 14, Ceara still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats with a 35:39 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lucas Lima (4 goals), Melk (4 goals), Richard (4 goals), with creative support from Lucas Lima (3 assists), Melk (3 assists), Giulio (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 59 points after 32 outings. The return of 17 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 37:19, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Raí (6 goals), Alisson Safira (4 goals), Alan Kardec (3 goals), with creative support from Aderlan (5 assists), Gabriel Pires (2 assists), Rodrigo Sam (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Ceara won 3 times, Juventude won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Ceara's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
Predicted formations: Ceara 4-2-3-1 / Juventude 3-5-2
H2H summary: Ceara wins 3, draws 1, Juventude wins 7

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 7 8 46:31 15 61
W D W W W
2 33 17 9 7 59:28 31 60
W W W D L
3 33 17 9 7 39:21 18 60
D W W W L
4 33 15 12 6 39:29 10 57
D W D D W
5 33 16 8 9 34:28 6 56
W L W W L
6 33 14 11 8 41:31 10 53
D L W W L
7 33 15 7 11 51:47 4 52
D W L W L
8 33 13 12 8 45:35 10 51
D W W L W
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 33 13 9 11 44:45 -1 48
L L L D W
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 33 12 10 11 46:36 10 46
D L W D W
13 33 10 13 10 40:39 1 43
D L L D D
14 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
15
Ceara Home
33 11 9 13 35:40 -5 42
L W W D W
16 33 11 8 14 37:38 -1 41
W W L W D
17 33 10 6 17 33:43 -10 36
W W L L L
18 33 7 8 18 42:49 -7 29
D L L L L
19 33 4 5 24 21:54 -33 17
L L L L L
20 33 3 4 26 18:73 -55 13
L L L L W
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