Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
88.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Ceara
Avai
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ceara
11 matches
Avai
11 matches
| Ceara | Statistic | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 12 | Goals For | 11 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.73 | Shots On Goal | 3.36 |
| 13.64 | Total Shots | 11.45 |
| 5.36 | Corners | 3.73 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 50.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Avai. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Avai having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Ceara sit 13 with 13 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 12:13, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Melk (3 goals), Juan Alano (2 goals), Matheus Araujo (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (2 assists), Fernandinho (1 assists), Julio Cesar (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Avai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 10 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 11:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Walace Franca (3 goals), Luiz Henrique (2 goals), Paulo Vitor (2 goals), with creative support from Thayllon (2 assists), Jean Lucas (1 assists), Allyson (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ceara won 7 times, Avai won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Ceara's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Ceara
4
2
10
6
3
3
Lineups
Ceara
Athletic Club
Ceara
Goias
Ceara
Juventude
Ceara
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Criciuma
Ceara
Operario-PR
Ceara
Novorizontino
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
Sport Recife
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Cuiaba
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Ceara
São Bernardo
Avai
Nautico Recife
Avai
Botafogo SP
Avai
Athletic Club
Avai
Cuiaba
Avai
Londrina
Avai
Criciuma
Avai
Goias
Avai
Vila Nova
Avai
Fortaleza EC
Avai
Novorizontino
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
Ponte Preta
Avai
Sport Recife
Avai
Operario-PR
Avai
CRB
Avai
Juventude
Ceara
Athletic Club
Ceara
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Operario-PR
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ceara
São Bernardo
Avai
Botafogo SP
Avai
Athletic Club
Avai
Londrina
Avai
Vila Nova
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
Sport Recife
Avai
CRB
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | 4 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17:8 | 9 | 29 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18:23 | -5 | 25 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 24 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 23 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26:31 | -5 | 20 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 19 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 |
Ceara
Home
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 18 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 |
Avai
Away
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 19 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11:33 | -22 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11:28 | -17 | 7 |
D
L
L
L
W
|