BRAZIL › SERIE B
09.05.2026 22:00
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
Referee: J. Teixeira
Ceara
Match Timeline
Atletico Goianiense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Melk
Ceara
⚽
29'
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
VAR
40'
Bruno José
Atletico Goianiense
🟥
41'
Bruno José
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
46'
Alex Silva ↔ R. Ramos
Ceara
🔄
46'
Pedro Henrique ↔ Juan Alano
Ceara
🔄
46'
Diego ↔ Vina
Ceara
🟨
47'
Vina
Ceara
🔄
61'
Geovany Soares ↔ Adriano Martins
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
63'
Lucas Lima ↔ Fernandinho
Ceara
🔄
68'
Marrony ↔ Leo Tocantins
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
68'
Gustavo Coutinho ↔ Leo Jaco
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
72'
Paulo Vítor
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
77'
Matheus Araujo ↔ Richardson
Ceara
🟨
78'
Leo Jacó
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
79'
Matheus Indio ↔ Nata
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
79'
Guilherme ↔ Felipe Guimaraes
Atletico Goianiense

Ceara vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 90%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
90%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ceara Win 90%
Draw 0%
Atletico Goianiense Win 10%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ceara1.14
Atletico Goianiense1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ceara Ceara
WWDLW
8 GF / 7 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
3
BTTS Yes
5
1
Over 2.5
4
4.14
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ceara Ceara 7 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 7 matches
Ceara Statistic Atletico Goianiense
2 Wins 2
4 Draws 2
1 Losses 3
8 Goals For 7
7 Goals Against 8
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
4.14 Shots On Goal 3.71
11.86 Total Shots 12.71
5.14 Corners 5.86
45.6% Ball Possession 47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Ceara's more proactive style and Atletico Goianiense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Goianiense. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atletico Goianiense having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Ceara Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Ceara have collected 10 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 8:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Juan Alano (2 goals), Matheus Araujo (2 goals), Fernandinho (1 goals), with creative support from Giulio (1 assists), Joao Gabriel (1 assists), Lucca (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

With 8 points from 7 games and a place of 14, Atletico Goianiense still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 7:8 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gustavo Coutinho (2 goals), Leo Jaco (2 goals), Guilherme (1 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), Ewerthon (1 assists), Geovany Soares (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ceara won 4 times, Atletico Goianiense won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:13 from Ceara's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Ceara 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ceara wins 4, draws 5, Atletico Goianiense wins 6

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 6 8 43:31 12 54
W W D W L
2 30 14 9 7 49:27 22 51
D L D W W
3 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 29 13 8 8 41:36 5 47
W D W W D
6 29 13 8 8 28:27 1 47
L L L W L
7 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
8 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
12 30 11 9 10 40:31 9 42
D W W L W
13 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
14 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
L D L W W
15
Ceara Home
29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 30 7 7 16 39:43 -4 28
L L W W L
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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