BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
Referee: J. Teixeira
Ceara
Match Timeline
Atletico Goianiense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Melk
Ceara
29'
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
VAR
40'
Bruno José
Atletico Goianiense
🟥
41'
Bruno José
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
46'
Alex Silva ↔ R. Ramos
Ceara
🔄
46'
Pedro Henrique ↔ Juan Alano
Ceara
🔄
46'
Diego ↔ Vina
Ceara
🟨
47'
Vina
Ceara
🔄
61'
Geovany Soares ↔ Adriano Martins
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
63'
Lucas Lima ↔ Fernandinho
Ceara
🔄
68'
Marrony ↔ Leo Tocantins
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
68'
Gustavo Coutinho ↔ Leo Jaco
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
72'
Paulo Vítor
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
77'
Matheus Araujo ↔ Richardson
Ceara
🟨
78'
Leo Jacó
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
79'
Matheus Indio ↔ Nata
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
79'
Guilherme ↔ Felipe Guimaraes
Atletico Goianiense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 90%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
90%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ceara Win 90%
Draw 0%
Atletico Goianiense Win 10%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ceara1.14
Atletico Goianiense1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ceara Ceara
WWDLW
8 GF / 7 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
3
BTTS Yes
5
1
Over 2.5
4
4.14
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ceara Ceara 7 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 7 matches
Ceara Statistic Atletico Goianiense
2 Wins 2
4 Draws 2
1 Losses 3
8 Goals For 7
7 Goals Against 8
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
4.14 Shots On Goal 3.71
11.86 Total Shots 12.71
5.14 Corners 5.86
45.6% Ball Possession 47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Ceara's more proactive style and Atletico Goianiense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Goianiense. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atletico Goianiense having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Ceara Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Ceara have collected 10 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 8:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Juan Alano (2 goals), Matheus Araujo (2 goals), Fernandinho (1 goals), with creative support from Giulio (1 assists), Joao Gabriel (1 assists), Lucca (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

With 8 points from 7 games and a place of 14, Atletico Goianiense still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 7:8 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gustavo Coutinho (2 goals), Leo Jaco (2 goals), Guilherme (1 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), Ewerthon (1 assists), Geovany Soares (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ceara won 4 times, Atletico Goianiense won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:13 from Ceara's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Ceara 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ceara wins 4, draws 5, Atletico Goianiense wins 6
Stats
Ceara Ceara
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
15
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
2
11 Corner Kicks 1
14 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 1
75% Ball Possession 25%
32 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Goal 1
15 Shots off Goal 2
8 Blocked Shots 2
18 Shots insidebox 3
14 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 9
487 Total passes 166
436 Passes accurate 112
2.09 expected_goals 1.54
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Atletico Goianiense
Formation
Ceara
Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor
Ewerthon
Ewerthon
Tito
Tito
O. J. Barreto Viera
O. J. Barreto Viera
Guilherme
Guilherme
Matheus Indio
Matheus Indio
Leandro Vilela
Leandro Vilela
Bruno Jose
Bruno Jose
Marrony
Marrony
Geovany Soares
Geovany Soares
Gustavo Coutinho
Gustavo Coutinho
Bruno Ferreira
Bruno Ferreira
Alex Silva
Alex Silva
Eder
Eder
Luiz Otavio
Luiz Otavio
Sanchez
Sanchez
Lucas Lima
Lucas Lima
Diego
Diego
Melk
Melk
Matheus Araujo
Matheus Araujo
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
Lucca
Lucca
Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Paulo Vitor
🟨 72'
G
2
Ewerthon
D
3
Tito
D
4
O. J. Barreto Viera
D
6
Guilherme
↓ 79'
D
8
Matheus Indio
↓ 79'
M
5
Leandro Vilela
M
7
Bruno Jose
🟥 41'
M
10
Marrony
↓ 68'
M
11
Geovany Soares
↓ 61'
M
9
Gustavo Coutinho
⚽ 29' ↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
12
Paulo Henrique
16
Guilherme
M
19
Leo Tocantins
↑ 68'
F
15
Nata
↑ 79'
D
20
Leo Jaco
↑ 68' 🟨 78'
F
17
Assis
M
13
Felipe Guimaraes
↑ 79'
D
14
Adriano Martins
↑ 61'
D
18
Jader
F
Ceara 4-2-3-1 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
94
Bruno Ferreira
G
21
Alex Silva
↓ 46'
D
33
Eder
D
4
Luiz Otavio
D
12
Sanchez
D
31
Lucas Lima
↓ 63'
M
20
Diego
↓ 46'
M
40
Melk
🟨 20'
M
8
Matheus Araujo
↓ 77'
M
7
Pedro Henrique
↓ 46'
M
99
Lucca
F
Substitutes
41
Gustavo Martins
G
2
R. Ramos
↑ 46'
11
Fernandinho
↑ 63'
F
10
Juan Alano
↑ 46'
F
17
Fernando
D
30
Gustavo Prado
M
35
Giulio
F
26
Richardson
↑ 77'
M
29
Vina
↑ 46' 🟨 47'
M
18
Julio Cesar
D
63
Gilmar
D
81
Joao Gabriel
M
Last matches: Ceara
22.07.26
Ser
Ceara
CRB
0
1
L
17.07.26
Ser
Ceara
America Mineiro
1
1
D
13.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Athletic Club
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Goias
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Juventude
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Botafogo SP
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Criciuma
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Avai
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Operario-PR
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Novorizontino
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Sport Recife
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Vila Nova
3
3
D
19.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Londrina
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Cuiaba
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Ceara
São Bernardo
1
1
D
Last matches: Atletico Goianiense
23.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Athletic Club
0
0
D
12.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
0
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
19.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
CRB
3
3
D
08.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Goias
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Juventude
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
0
1
L
H2H: Ceara vs Atletico Goianiense
09.05.26
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
01.10.23
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
07.06.23
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
0
3
W
23.10.22
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
1
0
L
26.06.22
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
21.11.21
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
1
1
D
08.08.21
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
13.12.20
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
30.08.20
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
0
2
W
29.08.16
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
2
2
D
24.05.16
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
29.08.15
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
3
2
L
17.05.15
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
2
0
W
07.11.14
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
08.08.14
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
0
2
W
Last matches: Ceara
22.07.26
Ser
Ceara
CRB
0
1
L
13.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Athletic Club
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Botafogo SP
0
1
L
10.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Avai
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Operario-PR
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Vila Nova
3
3
D
11.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Ceara
São Bernardo
1
1
D
H2H at home: Ceara
09.05.26
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
01.10.23
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
26.06.22
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
08.08.21
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
13.12.20
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
24.05.16
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
17.05.15
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
2
0
W
07.11.14
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
Last matches: Atletico Goianiense
23.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
0
3
L
19.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
1
1
D
08.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
0
1
L
H2H away: Atletico Goianiense
09.05.26
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
W
01.10.23
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
W
26.06.22
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
08.08.21
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
13.12.20
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
W
24.05.16
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
W
17.05.15
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
2
0
L
07.11.14
H2H
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18
Ceara Home
19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation